GOR vs LES
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, April 20, 2014 · Stadion GBS Gorzów im. Edwarda Jancarza, Gorzów Wielkopolski
Results
- 9Krzysztof Kasprzak2 3 3 3 213+1
- 10Piotr Świderski1 1 1 25+2
- 11Matej Zagar3 2 1 2 210+1
- 12Linus Sundstroem1 1 02+1
- 13Niels Kristian Iversen2 3 3 3 314+1
- 14Adrian Cyfer1 D 01
- 15Bartosz Zmarzlik3 3 1 2 312+1
- 1Nicki Pedersen3 3 0 1 3 111
- 2Mikkel Michelsen00
- 3Przemysław Pawlicki2 0 1 03
- 4Grzegorz Zengota0 2 2 1 05
- 5Kenneth Bjerre0 2 3 0 0 16
- 6Tobiasz MusielakT 00
- 7Piotr Pawlicki2 1 2 2 1 D8+1
Heat by heat
- Nicki Pedersen · LES3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR2
- Piotr Świderski · GOR1*
- Mikkel Michelsen · LES0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Adrian Cyfer · GOR1
- Matej Zagar · GOR3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES2
- Linus Sundstroem · GOR1
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR2*
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES0
- Nicki Pedersen · LES3
- Matej Zagar · GOR2
- Linus Sundstroem · GOR1*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES1
- Adrian Cyfer · GORD
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR3
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES2
- Piotr Świderski · GOR1
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR1
- Nicki Pedersen · LES0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2
- Piotr Świderski · GOR1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES0
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2*
- Matej Zagar · GOR1
- Linus Sundstroem · GOR0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR3
- Piotr Świderski · GOR2*
- Nicki Pedersen · LES1
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES0
- Nicki Pedersen · LES3
- Matej Zagar · GOR2
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1
- Adrian Cyfer · GOR0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2*
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Matej Zagar · GOR2*
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES1
- Piotr Pawlicki · LESD
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR2*
- Nicki Pedersen · LES1
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 17 → 14 °C
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Wind
- 13 km/h E
- gusts up to 23 km/h
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 60 %
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 10 | 2 | +8 | −8 | |
| GOR | LES | GOR | LES | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +10 | 97 % |
| 8 | +12 | 98 % |
| 9 | +14 | 100 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +14 | 100 % |
| 12 | +12 | 100 % |
| 13 | +16 | 100 % |
| 14 | +20 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 5 | 7.2 | 12 | +4.8 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 5 | 9.2 | 14 | +4.8 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 5 | 8.7 | 13 | +4.3 |
| Matej Zagar | 5 | 7.7 | 10 | +2.3 |
| Piotr Świderski | 4 | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| Adrian Cyfer | 3 | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 1 | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
| Linus Sundstroem | 3 | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 6 | 9.0 | 8 | -1.0 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 5 | 6.5 | 5 | -1.5 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 6 | 13.3 | 11 | -2.3 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 2 | 2.5 | 0 | -2.5 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 4 | 6.5 | 3 | -3.5 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 6 | 10.5 | 6 | -4.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.