GOR vs LES
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, October 5, 2014 · Stadion GBS Gorzów im. Edwarda Jancarza, Gorzów Wielkopolski
Results
- 9Krzysztof Kasprzak3 2 1 3 211+1
- 10Linus Sundstroem1 3 2 3 110+1
- 11Matej Zagar3 2 3 3 1 012+1
- 13Piotr Świderski1 D D1
- 14Adrian Cyfer1 1 1 1 04
- 15Bartosz Zmarzlik3 3 1 3 W 111+1
- 1Mikkel MichelsenW0
- 2Nicki Pedersen2 0 2 0 37
- 3Grzegorz Zengota1 2 1 1 38+2
- 4Kenneth Bjerre0 3 03
- 5Przemysław Pawlicki0 W 1 3 26+1
- 6Piotr PawlickiT 3 2 2 2 211+1
- 7Tobiasz Musielak2 2 U 2 06
Heat by heat
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR3
- Nicki Pedersen · LES2
- Linus Sundstroem · GOR1
- Mikkel Michelsen · LESW
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES2
- Adrian Cyfer · GOR1
- Matej Zagar · GOR3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR2*
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES2
- Piotr Świderski · GOR1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Matej Zagar · GOR2
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR1*
- Nicki Pedersen · LES0
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2*
- Adrian Cyfer · GOR1
- Piotr Świderski · GORD
- Linus Sundstroem · GOR3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LESW
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Nicki Pedersen · LES2
- Adrian Cyfer · GOR1
- Tobiasz Musielak · LESU
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR3
- Linus Sundstroem · GOR2*
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES0
- Matej Zagar · GOR3
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES1
- Linus Sundstroem · GOR3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Adrian Cyfer · GOR1
- Nicki Pedersen · LES0
- Matej Zagar · GOR3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1*
- Adrian Cyfer · GOR0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR2
- Matej Zagar · GOR1*
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES0
- Nicki Pedersen · LES3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2*
- Linus Sundstroem · GOR1
- Piotr Świderski · GORD
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES2*
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR1
- Matej Zagar · GOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 13 → 11 °C
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Wind
- 7 km/h E
- gusts up to 24 km/h
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 81 %
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 17 | 7 | +10 | −10 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 2 | 10 | −8 | +8 | |
| GOR | LES | GOR | LES | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +10 | 98 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +10 | 98 % |
| 9 | +14 | 100 % |
| 10 | +14 | 99 % |
| 11 | +16 | 100 % |
| 12 | +16 | 100 % |
| 13 | +16 | 100 % |
| 14 | +12 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Linus Sundstroem | 5 | 5.5 | 10 | +4.5 |
| Matej Zagar | 6 | 9.1 | 12 | +2.9 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 5 | 10.0 | 11 | +1.0 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 5 | 7.3 | 8 | +0.7 |
| Adrian Cyfer | 5 | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 6 | 10.5 | 11 | +0.5 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 5.8 | 6 | +0.2 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 1 | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 6 | 12.3 | 11 | -1.3 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 5 | 7.6 | 6 | -1.6 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 3 | 4.9 | 3 | -1.9 |
| Piotr Świderski | 3 | 3.0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 9.9 | 7 | -2.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.