LES vs GOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, September 28, 2014 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno
Results
- 9Nicki Pedersen2 3 1 3 D9
- 10Damian Baliński1 01+1
- 11Grzegorz Zengota1 2 1 3 D7+3
- 12Przemysław Pawlicki2 3 2 3 2 214+1
- 13Kenneth Bjerre2 2 1 27+1
- 14Piotr Pawlicki1 1 0 2 26+3
- 15Tobiasz Musielak2 0 02
- 1Krzysztof Kasprzak3 3 W 2 1 110+1
- 2Linus Sundstroem0 1 3 15
- 3Matej Zagar0 3 2 0 0 16+1
- 5Piotr Świderski1 1 0 13+1
- 6Adrian Cyfer0 2 02
- 7Bartosz Zmarzlik3 3 0 3 3 3 318
Heat by heat
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR3
- Nicki Pedersen · LES2
- Damian Baliński · LES1*
- Linus Sundstroem · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES2
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1*
- Adrian Cyfer · GOR0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES2
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1*
- Matej Zagar · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES2
- Piotr Świderski · GOR1
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2*
- Linus Sundstroem · GOR1
- Matej Zagar · GOR3
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES2
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1*
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR0
- Nicki Pedersen · LES3
- Adrian Cyfer · GOR2
- Piotr Świderski · GOR1*
- Damian Baliński · LES0
- Linus Sundstroem · GOR3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR2*
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES1
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Matej Zagar · GOR2*
- Nicki Pedersen · LES1
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES2
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1*
- Piotr Świderski · GOR0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES3
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES2*
- Linus Sundstroem · GOR1
- Matej Zagar · GOR0
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR1
- Adrian Cyfer · GOR0
- Nicki Pedersen · LES3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES2*
- Piotr Świderski · GOR1
- Matej Zagar · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Matej Zagar · GOR1
- Grzegorz Zengota · LESD
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR1
- Nicki Pedersen · LESD
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 14 → 12 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 8 km/h S
- gusts up to 12 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 81 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 5 | 13 | −8 | +8 | |
| 11–13 | 15 | 3 | +12 | −12 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| LES | GOR | LES | GOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LES
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | -6 | 20 % |
| 10 | -6 | 15 % |
| 11 | -2 | 36 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +4 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 6 | 6.0 | 14 | +8.0 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 7 | 13.0 | 18 | +5.0 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 4 | 5.5 | 7 | +1.5 |
| Linus Sundstroem | 4 | 4.3 | 5 | +0.7 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 5 | 6.9 | 7 | +0.1 |
| Adrian Cyfer | 3 | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| Damian Baliński | 2 | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 10.1 | 9 | -1.1 |
| Piotr Świderski | 4 | 4.2 | 3 | -1.2 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 5 | 8.1 | 6 | -2.1 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 6 | 12.5 | 10 | -2.5 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 3 | 5.1 | 2 | -3.1 |
| Matej Zagar | 6 | 10.2 | 6 | -4.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.