CZE vs LES
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, September 7, 2014 · Krono-Plast Arena, Częstochowa
Results
- 9Peter Kildemand2 2 0 2 17
- 10Mirosław Jabłoński0 1 1 U2+1
- 11Rune Holta1 D 2 14
- 12Borys Miturski0 1 1 24+1
- 13Michael Jepsen Jensen3 3 1 3 111+1
- 14Oskar Polis1 2 0 14+3
- 15Artur Czaja2 1 D 03
- 1Tobiasz Musielak3 3 2 3 314+1
- 2Damian Baliński1 2 3 2 08+1
- 3Grzegorz Zengota3 1 2 17+1
- 4Kenneth Bjerre2 0 3 3 210+2
- 5Mikkel MichelsenD 3 0 03
- 6Bartosz Smektała0 0 22+1
- 7Piotr Pawlicki3 2 3 311
Heat by heat
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES3
- Peter Kildemand · CZE2
- Damian Baliński · LES1
- Mirosław Jabłoński · CZE0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Artur Czaja · CZE2
- Oskar Polis · CZE1*
- Bartosz Smektała · LES0
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES3
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES2*
- Rune Holta · CZE1
- Borys Miturski · CZE0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · CZE3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Artur Czaja · CZE1
- Mikkel Michelsen · LESD
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES3
- Damian Baliński · LES2*
- Borys Miturski · CZE1
- Rune Holta · CZED
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · CZE3
- Oskar Polis · CZE2*
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES0
- Mikkel Michelsen · LES3
- Peter Kildemand · CZE2
- Mirosław Jabłoński · CZE1*
- Bartosz Smektała · LES0
- Damian Baliński · LES3
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · CZE1
- Artur Czaja · CZED
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2*
- Mirosław Jabłoński · CZE1
- Peter Kildemand · CZE0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Rune Holta · CZE2
- Borys Miturski · CZE1*
- Mikkel Michelsen · LES0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · CZE3
- Damian Baliński · LES2
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1
- Mirosław Jabłoński · CZEU
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES3
- Bartosz Smektała · LES2*
- Rune Holta · CZE1
- Oskar Polis · CZE0
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES3
- Peter Kildemand · CZE2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · CZE1*
- Mikkel Michelsen · LES0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Borys Miturski · CZE2
- Oskar Polis · CZE1*
- Damian Baliński · LES0
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES3
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES2*
- Peter Kildemand · CZE1
- Artur Czaja · CZE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 26 → 25 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 6 km/h NW
- gusts up to 17 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 44 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 10 | 14 | −4 | +4 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 5 | 13 | −8 | +8 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| CZE | LES | CZE | LES | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead CZE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | -6 | 32 % |
| 4 | -4 | 38 % |
| 5 | -8 | 18 % |
| 6 | -4 | 33 % |
| 7 | -4 | 32 % |
| 8 | -8 | 12 % |
| 9 | -12 | 1 % |
| 10 | -12 | 0 % |
| 11 | -12 | 0 % |
| 12 | -16 | 0 % |
| 13 | -16 | 0 % |
| 14 | -16 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tobiasz Musielak | 5 | 9.2 | 14 | +4.8 |
| Damian Baliński | 5 | 6.1 | 8 | +1.9 |
| Borys Miturski | 4 | 2.1 | 4 | +1.9 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 4 | 9.4 | 11 | +1.6 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 9.8 | 11 | +1.2 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 4 | 6.3 | 7 | +0.7 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 9.7 | 10 | +0.3 |
| Oskar Polis | 4 | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| Artur Czaja | 4 | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 3 | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 4 | 5.0 | 3 | -2.0 |
| Peter Kildemand | 5 | 9.3 | 7 | -2.3 |
| Mirosław Jabłoński | 4 | 4.8 | 2 | -2.8 |
| Rune Holta | 4 | 7.9 | 4 | -3.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.