LES vs GOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 24, 2014 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno
Results
- 9Tobiasz Musielak3 0 3 T6
- 10Damian Baliński1 1 13
- 11Grzegorz Zengota3 2 1 1 29+1
- 12Kenneth Bjerre2 3 0 1 06+1
- 13Mikkel Michelsen0 2 2 2 06+2
- 14Piotr Pawlicki3 3 3 3 214
- 15Bartosz Smektała0 1 0 D1
- 1Krzysztof KasprzakD 1 3 2 3 110
- 2Piotr Świderski2 0 1 03
- 3Matej Zagar1 1 0 1 36
- 4Linus Sundstroem0 00
- 5Niels Kristian Iversen3 2 3 2 313+2
- 6Adrian Cyfer1 01+1
- 7Bartosz Zmarzlik2 2 3 2 2 112+2
Heat by heat
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES3
- Piotr Świderski · GOR2
- Damian Baliński · LES1
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GORD
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2
- Adrian Cyfer · GOR1*
- Bartosz Smektała · LES0
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES3
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES2*
- Matej Zagar · GOR1
- Linus Sundstroem · GOR0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2*
- Bartosz Smektała · LES1
- Mikkel Michelsen · LES0
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR1
- Piotr Świderski · GOR0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Mikkel Michelsen · LES2*
- Matej Zagar · GOR1
- Linus Sundstroem · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR2*
- Damian Baliński · LES1
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR3
- Mikkel Michelsen · LES2
- Piotr Świderski · GOR1
- Bartosz Smektała · LES0
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2
- Damian Baliński · LES1
- Matej Zagar · GOR0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2*
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Mikkel Michelsen · LES2*
- Matej Zagar · GOR1
- Piotr Świderski · GOR0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR2
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1
- Adrian Cyfer · GOR0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR2*
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES1
- Bartosz Smektała · LESD
- Matej Zagar · GOR3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR1
- Mikkel Michelsen · LES0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR1
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 15 → 12 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 13 km/h W
- gusts up to 40 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.6 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 68 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| LES | GOR | LES | GOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LES
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +10 | 97 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +2 | 70 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | +2 | 77 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piotr Pawlicki | 5 | 9.1 | 14 | +4.9 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 5 | 10.1 | 13 | +2.9 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 5 | 6.7 | 9 | +2.3 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 3 | 4.2 | 6 | +1.8 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 5 | 5.0 | 6 | +1.0 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 6 | 11.1 | 12 | +0.9 |
| Damian Baliński | 3 | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| Adrian Cyfer | 2 | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 7.2 | 6 | -1.2 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 4 | 3.2 | 1 | -2.2 |
| Matej Zagar | 5 | 8.7 | 6 | -2.7 |
| Linus Sundstroem | 2 | 2.7 | 0 | -2.7 |
| Piotr Świderski | 4 | 5.8 | 3 | -2.8 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 6 | 12.8 | 10 | -2.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.