ZIE vs LES
PGE Ekstraliga · Monday, August 11, 2014 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra
Results
- 9Jarosław Hampel1 1 1 03+1
- 10Oleksandr Loktayev3 2 0 3 19
- 11Krzysztof Jabłoński2 3 0 1 17+1
- 12Andreas Jonsson1 1 2 2 39+1
- 13Piotr Protasiewicz3 1 3 2 09+1
- 14Kamil Adamczewski2 0 24+1
- 15Adam Strzelec3 0 03
- 1Nicki Pedersen2 2 1 0 05+1
- 2Damian Baliński0 0 00
- 3Grzegorz Zengota3 2 3 1 211+2
- 4Kenneth Bjerre0 3 2 1 39+1
- 5Przemysław Pawlicki1 01+1
- 6Piotr Pawlicki1 3 3 3 212
- 7Tobiasz MusielakT 2 2 1 38
Heat by heat
- Oleksandr Loktayev · ZIE3
- Nicki Pedersen · LES2
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE1
- Damian Baliński · LES0
- Adam Strzelec · ZIE3
- Kamil Adamczewski · ZIE2*
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES3
- Krzysztof Jabłoński · ZIE2
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE1*
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES1*
- Adam Strzelec · ZIE0
- Krzysztof Jabłoński · ZIE3
- Nicki Pedersen · LES2
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE1
- Damian Baliński · LES0
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2*
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Kamil Adamczewski · ZIE0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · ZIE2
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE1*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES2
- Nicki Pedersen · LES1*
- Adam Strzelec · ZIE0
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES3
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES2*
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE1
- Oleksandr Loktayev · ZIE0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE2
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES1
- Krzysztof Jabłoński · ZIE0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · ZIE3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2*
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1
- Damian Baliński · LES0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Kamil Adamczewski · ZIE2
- Krzysztof Jabłoński · ZIE1*
- Nicki Pedersen · LES0
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES3
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE2
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES1
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE0
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Krzysztof Jabłoński · ZIE1
- Nicki Pedersen · LES0
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2*
- Oleksandr Loktayev · ZIE1
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 19 → 12 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 7 km/h SW
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.4 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 79 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| ZIE | LES | ZIE | LES | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead ZIE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | -2 | 36 % |
| 11 | +2 | 68 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | 0 | 56 % |
| 14 | +2 | 77 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grzegorz Zengota | 5 | 7.0 | 11 | +4.0 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 5 | 8.6 | 12 | +3.4 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 6.4 | 9 | +2.6 |
| Krzysztof Jabłoński | 5 | 5.0 | 7 | +2.0 |
| Kamil Adamczewski | 3 | 2.4 | 4 | +1.6 |
| Adam Strzelec | 3 | 1.4 | 3 | +1.6 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 5 | 7.6 | 9 | +1.4 |
| Andreas Jonsson | 5 | 8.8 | 9 | +0.2 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 5 | 7.9 | 8 | +0.1 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 2 | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| Damian Baliński | 3 | 2.3 | 0 | -2.3 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 5 | 12.1 | 9 | -3.1 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 4 | 7.3 | 3 | -4.3 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 10.7 | 5 | -5.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.