WRO vs CZE

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 3, 2014 · Stadion Olimpijski we Wrocławiu, Wrocław

Results

WRO 45 : 32 CZE
WRO
CZE

Heat by heat

Heat 160.65 s4:2
Heat 260.48 s5:1
Heat 361.01 s3:3
Heat 461.24 s5:0
Heat 561.25 s4:2
Heat 663.00 s1:5
Heat 761.25 s4:2
Heat 861.37 s4:2
Heat 961.22 s3:3
Heat 1061.60 s4:2
Heat 1161.78 s3:3
Heat 1261.39 s1:5
Heat 1361.80 s4:2
Heat 14
    Heat 15

      Conditions

      Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

      Sky
      Cloudy
      Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
      Temperature
      25 → 21 °C
      Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
      Wind
      15 km/h E
      gusts up to 32 km/h
      Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
      Rain during the meeting
      0 mm
      Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
      Rain in the 24 hours before
      3.3 mm
      Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
      Humidity
      73 %
      Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away

      Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

      Match by phase

      Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

      PointsBalance
      1–4176+11−11
      5–79900
      8–10117+4−4
      11–13810−2+2
      WROCZEWROCZE

      The match heat by heat

      Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

      • Lead WRO
      2468101214113
      HeatLeadHome win chance
      1+279 %
      2+689 %
      3+690 %
      4+1196 %
      5+13100 %
      6+997 %
      7+1199 %
      8+13100 %
      9+13100 %
      10+15100 %
      11+15100 %
      12+11100 %
      13+13100 %

      Pre-meeting expectation

      Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

      RiderheatsExpectedScored±
      Patryk Dolny33.16+2.9
      Tai Woffinden49.812+2.2
      Michael Jepsen Jensen58.110+1.9
      Patryk Malitowski32.53+0.5
      Mirosław Jabłoński55.96+0.1
      Jurica Pavlic47.17-0.1
      Maciej Janowski47.37-0.3
      Rune Holta57.47-0.4
      Tomasz Jędrzejak46.46-0.4
      Zbigniew Suchecki44.64-0.6
      Artur Czaja34.43-1.4
      Hubert Legowik31.70-1.7
      Peter Kildemand59.86-3.8

      Track & gates

      Heat times

      Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

      slower 63.0060.48 faster

      Starting gates

      One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

      Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

      Inside vs outside

      Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

      inside A + B 33.0:18.0 outside C + D
      Trend ▶ −2.62 towards the outside
      Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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