LES vs GDA
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 13, 2014 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno
Results
- 9Nicki Pedersen3 3 3 211+1
- 10Damian Baliński1 2 W 2 38+2
- 11Kenneth Bjerre2 1 3 28+1
- 12Grzegorz Zengota3 3 2 3 112+2
- 13Przemysław Pawlicki2 3 1 3 211+2
- 14Piotr Pawlicki1 1 13+2
- 15Tobiasz Musielak2 3 3 210
- 1Tomas H Jonasson2 2 2 3 312
- 2Marcel Szymko0 0 0 00
- 3Artur Mroczka1 2 2 1 06
- 4Renat Gafurov0 0 1 W1
- 5Cyprian Szymko0 D 0 11
- 6Krystian Pieszczek3 1 0 15
- 7Dominik Kossakowski0 1 1 02
Heat by heat
- Nicki Pedersen · LES3
- Tomas H Jonasson · GDA2
- Damian Baliński · LES1
- Marcel Szymko · GDA0
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA3
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES2
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1*
- Dominik Kossakowski · GDA0
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES3
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES2*
- Artur Mroczka · GDA1
- Renat Gafurov · GDA0
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES2*
- Dominik Kossakowski · GDA1
- Cyprian Szymko · GDA0
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES3
- Tomas H Jonasson · GDA2
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES1
- Marcel Szymko · GDA0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES3
- Artur Mroczka · GDA2
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1
- Renat Gafurov · GDA0
- Nicki Pedersen · LES3
- Damian Baliński · LES2*
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA1
- Cyprian Szymko · GDAD
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES3
- Tomas H Jonasson · GDA2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES1
- Marcel Szymko · GDA0
- Nicki Pedersen · LES3
- Artur Mroczka · GDA2
- Renat Gafurov · GDA1
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2*
- Dominik Kossakowski · GDA1
- Cyprian Szymko · GDA0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES3
- Damian Baliński · LES2*
- Artur Mroczka · GDA1
- Marcel Szymko · GDA0
- Tomas H Jonasson · GDA3
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES2
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1*
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA0
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES3
- Nicki Pedersen · LES2*
- Cyprian Szymko · GDA1
- Damian Baliński · LES3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES2*
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA1
- Dominik Kossakowski · GDA0
- Tomas H Jonasson · GDA3
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES2
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1*
- Artur Mroczka · GDA0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 23 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 12 km/h SW
- gusts up to 29 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 46 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 17 | 7 | +10 | −10 | |
| 5–7 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| LES | GDA | LES | GDA | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LES
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +10 | 98 % |
| 5 | +12 | 97 % |
| 6 | +14 | 99 % |
| 7 | +18 | 100 % |
| 8 | +20 | 100 % |
| 9 | +20 | 100 % |
| 10 | +24 | 100 % |
| 11 | +28 | 100 % |
| 12 | +28 | 100 % |
| 13 | +32 | 100 % |
| 14 | +36 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grzegorz Zengota | 5 | 8.0 | 12 | +4.0 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 4 | 7.0 | 10 | +3.0 |
| Damian Baliński | 5 | 6.6 | 8 | +1.4 |
| Tomas H Jonasson | 5 | 10.6 | 12 | +1.4 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 4 | 9.9 | 11 | +1.1 |
| Artur Mroczka | 5 | 5.2 | 6 | +0.8 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 4 | 7.3 | 8 | +0.7 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 10.7 | 11 | +0.3 |
| Krystian Pieszczek | 4 | 4.7 | 5 | +0.3 |
| Dominik Kossakowski | 4 | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| Marcel Szymko | 4 | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 3 | 6.3 | 3 | -3.3 |
| Cyprian Szymko | 4 | 4.4 | 1 | -3.4 |
| Renat Gafurov | 4 | 4.6 | 1 | -3.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.