LES vs CZE
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, April 13, 2014 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno
Results
- 9Nicki Pedersen2 3 2 3 212+2
- 10Grzegorz Zengota3 1 1 05
- 11Kenneth Bjerre3 2 3 3 314
- 12Mikkel Michelsen1 0 1 02
- 13Przemysław Pawlicki2 2 0 2 39+2
- 14Tobiasz Musielak0 3 2 05+1
- 15Piotr Pawlicki1 3 15
- 1Peter Kildemand1 T 2 3 1 2 09+1
- 3Rune Holta2 1 3 D 1 18+1
- 4Mirosław Jabłoński0 W W0
- 5Grzegorz Walasek1 3 2 3 0 2 112
- 6Artur Czaja2 1 0 2 0 16+2
- 7Rafał Malczewski3 03
Heat by heat
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES3
- Nicki Pedersen · LES2*
- Peter Kildemand · CZE1
- Mirosław Jabłoński · CZE0
- Rafał Malczewski · CZE3
- Artur Czaja · CZE2*
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES0
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES3
- Rune Holta · CZE2
- Mikkel Michelsen · LES1
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES2*
- Grzegorz Walasek · CZE1
- Rafał Malczewski · CZE0
- Grzegorz Walasek · CZE3
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES2
- Artur Czaja · CZE1
- Mikkel Michelsen · LES0
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES2*
- Rune Holta · CZE1
- Nicki Pedersen · LES3
- Grzegorz Walasek · CZE2
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1
- Artur Czaja · CZE0
- Rune Holta · CZE3
- Peter Kildemand · CZE2*
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES0
- Grzegorz Walasek · CZE3
- Nicki Pedersen · LES2
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1
- Rune Holta · CZED
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES3
- Artur Czaja · CZE2
- Mikkel Michelsen · LES1
- Grzegorz Walasek · CZE0
- Peter Kildemand · CZE3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES2
- Rune Holta · CZE1
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES0
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES3
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES2*
- Peter Kildemand · CZE1
- Artur Czaja · CZE0
- Nicki Pedersen · LES3
- Grzegorz Walasek · CZE2
- Artur Czaja · CZE1*
- Mikkel Michelsen · LES0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES3
- Peter Kildemand · CZE2
- Rune Holta · CZE1*
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES0
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES3
- Nicki Pedersen · LES2*
- Grzegorz Walasek · CZE1
- Peter Kildemand · CZE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 13 → 10 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 11 km/h W
- gusts up to 34 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 62 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| LES | CZE | LES | CZE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LES
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +10 | 97 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +10 | 98 % |
| 13 | +10 | 100 % |
| 14 | +10 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 9.3 | 14 | +4.7 |
| Rafał Malczewski | 2 | 1.1 | 3 | +1.9 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 8.1 | 9 | +0.9 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 7 | 11.3 | 12 | +0.7 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 11.6 | 12 | +0.4 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 4 | 5.0 | 5 | -0.0 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 4 | 5.2 | 5 | -0.2 |
| Artur Czaja | 6 | 6.4 | 6 | -0.4 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 3 | 5.6 | 5 | -0.6 |
| Peter Kildemand | 6 | 9.9 | 9 | -0.9 |
| Rune Holta | 6 | 9.6 | 8 | -1.6 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 4 | 4.0 | 2 | -2.0 |
| Mirosław Jabłoński | 3 | 2.7 | 0 | -2.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.