LES vs WRO
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 19, 2013 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno
Results
- 9Przemysław Pawlicki2 2 3 2 110
- 10Damian Baliński0 1 01
- 11Fredrik Lindgren0 1 1 13+2
- 12Kenneth Bjerre2 2 3 0 07
- 13Grzegorz Zengota3 0 14
- 14Tobiasz Musielak2 2 2 2 19+3
- 15Piotr Pawlicki3 2 D 2 29+1
- 1Tai Woffinden1 3 3 3 212+1
- 2Zbigniew Suchecki3 0 2 3 08+1
- 3Tomasz Jędrzejak1 1 0 13
- 4Peter Ljung3 3 1 1 311
- 5Troy Batchelor1 3 2 3 312
- 6Patryk DolnyT U 00
- 7Łukasz Bojarski1 0 D1
Heat by heat
- Zbigniew Suchecki · WRO3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES2
- Tai Woffinden · WRO1
- Damian Baliński · LES0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES2*
- Łukasz Bojarski · WRO1
- Peter Ljung · WRO3
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES2
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO1
- Fredrik Lindgren · LES0
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2*
- Troy Batchelor · WRO1
- Łukasz Bojarski · WRO0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES2
- Fredrik Lindgren · LES1*
- Zbigniew Suchecki · WRO0
- Peter Ljung · WRO3
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES2
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO1
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES0
- Troy Batchelor · WRO3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES2
- Damian Baliński · LES1
- Patryk Dolny · WROU
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Zbigniew Suchecki · WRO2*
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1
- Piotr Pawlicki · LESD
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES3
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES2*
- Peter Ljung · WRO1
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO0
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES3
- Troy Batchelor · WRO2
- Fredrik Lindgren · LES1
- Łukasz Bojarski · WROD
- Zbigniew Suchecki · WRO3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO1
- Damian Baliński · LES0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES2
- Fredrik Lindgren · LES1*
- Patryk Dolny · WRO0
- Troy Batchelor · WRO3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES2
- Peter Ljung · WRO1
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES0
- Peter Ljung · WRO3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES1*
- Zbigniew Suchecki · WRO0
- Troy Batchelor · WRO3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES1
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 25 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 15 km/h SE
- gusts up to 32 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 39 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| LES | WRO | LES | WRO | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LES
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | +2 | 68 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | 0 | 56 % |
| 14 | 0 | 56 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Batchelor | 5 | 6.7 | 12 | +5.3 |
| Zbigniew Suchecki | 5 | 4.2 | 8 | +3.8 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 5 | 7.0 | 9 | +2.0 |
| Peter Ljung | 5 | 9.0 | 11 | +2.0 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 9.1 | 10 | +0.9 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 5 | 8.6 | 9 | +0.4 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 7.0 | 7 | -0.0 |
| Tai Woffinden | 5 | 12.2 | 12 | -0.2 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 3 | 4.5 | 4 | -0.5 |
| Patryk Dolny | 3 | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| Łukasz Bojarski | 3 | 3.1 | 1 | -2.1 |
| Tomasz Jędrzejak | 4 | 5.6 | 3 | -2.6 |
| Damian Baliński | 3 | 4.5 | 1 | -3.5 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 4 | 7.5 | 3 | -4.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.