ZIE vs LES

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 12, 2013 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra

Results

ZIE 58 : 32 LES

ZIE

9Andreas Jonsson3 3 3 3 315
10Jonas Davidsson1 0 12
11Piotr Protasiewicz3 3 3 2 314
12Krzysztof Jabłoński2 2 1 2 07+3
13Jarosław Hampel3 3 3 3 214+1
14Alex Zgardziński0 0 00
15Patryk Dudek2 2 2 06+2

LES

1Grzegorz Zengota0 00
2Damian Baliński2 1 1 M4
3Fredrik Lindgren1 2 2 2 1 08
4Kenneth Bjerre0 1 12+2
5Przemysław Pawlicki1 1 0 24+1
6Piotr Pawlicki3 2 0 3 0 19+1
7Tobiasz Musielak1 T 2 1 15

Heat by heat

Heat 160.50 s4:2

Heat 260.59 s2:4

Heat 360.18 s5:1

Heat 460.16 s5:1

Heat 560.80 s5:1

Heat 659.49 s3:3

Heat 760.69 s3:3

Heat 861.00 s5:1

Heat 960.91 s3:3

Heat 1060.82 s4:2

Heat 1161.03 s4:2

Heat 1261.37 s2:4

Heat 1361.76 s5:1

Heat 1461.12 s3:3

Heat 1561.63 s5:1

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Cloudy → Showers; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature: 16 → 15 °C; Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
Wind: 16 km/h SE; gusts up to 16 km/h; Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
Rain during the meeting: 0.7 mm; Rain likely: a second model agrees; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0.6 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity: 68 %; Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	16	8	+8	−8
5–7	11	7	+4	−4
8–10	12	6	+6	−6
11–13	11	7	+4	−4
14–15	8	4	+4	−4
	ZIE	LES	ZIE	LES

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead ZIE

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	+2	79 %
2	0	64 %
3	+4	82 %
4	+8	93 %
5	+12	97 %
6	+12	99 %
7	+12	99 %
8	+16	100 %
9	+16	100 %
10	+18	100 %
11	+20	100 %
12	+18	100 %
13	+22	100 %
14	+22	100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Andreas Jonsson	5	8.2	15	+6.8
Piotr Protasiewicz	5	9.5	14	+4.5
Krzysztof Jabłoński	5	3.6	7	+3.4
Jarosław Hampel	5	11.0	14	+3.0
Piotr Pawlicki	6	8.2	9	+0.8
Damian Baliński	4	4.7	4	-0.7
Tobiasz Musielak	5	5.7	5	-0.7
Patryk Dudek	4	7.0	6	-1.0
Jonas Davidsson	3	3.9	2	-1.9
Fredrik Lindgren	6	9.9	8	-1.9
Alex Zgardziński	3	2.4	0	-2.4
Kenneth Bjerre	3	4.5	2	-2.5
Grzegorz Zengota	2	3.5	0	-3.5
Przemysław Pawlicki	4	7.9	4	-3.9

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 61.7659.49 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 34.0:28.0 outside C + D

Trend ▶ −1.67 towards the outside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source