CZE vs GOR

PGE Ekstraliga · Monday, June 24, 2013 · Krono-Plast Arena, Częstochowa

Results

CZE 48 : 42 GOR

CZE

9Rune Holta2 2 3 2 09+2
10Michael Jepsen Jensen3 3 1 1 19
11Grigorij Laguta3 3 2 3 314
12Rafał Szombierski1 1 0 02
13Emil Sajfutdinow1 3 3 U 310
14Artur Czaja2 1 14
15Hubert Legowik0 0 W0

GOR

1Linus Sundstroem1 2 14
2Tomasz Gapiński0 0 2 2 26+1
3Krzysztof Kasprzak2 2 0 3 3 111+1
4Łukasz Jankowski0 00
5Niels Kristian Iversen2 1 2 3 1 211+1
6Adrian Cyfer1 0 01
7Bartosz Zmarzlik3 3 1 2 09

Heat by heat

Heat 165.29 s5:1

Heat 265.28 s2:4

Heat 364.57 s4:2

Heat 464.73 s1:5

Heat 564.49 s4:2

Heat 664.74 s4:2

Heat 764.17 s5:1

Heat 864.85 s3:3

Heat 965.03 s4:2

Heat 1064.78 s2:4

Heat 1165.14 s1:5

Heat 1264.80 s4:2

Heat 1365.11 s2:4

Heat 1464.91 s4:2

Heat 1565.24 s3:3

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Showers → Rain; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature: 21 → 18 °C; Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
Wind: 10 km/h N; gusts up to 35 km/h; Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
Rain during the meeting: 6.2 mm; Rain likely: a second model agrees; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 1.8 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity: 82 %; Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	12	12	0	0
5–7	13	5	+8	−8
8–10	9	9	0	0
11–13	7	11	−4	+4
14–15	7	5	+2	−2
	CZE	GOR	CZE	GOR

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead CZE

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	+4	85 %
2	+2	77 %
3	+4	82 %
4	0	62 %
5	+2	69 %
6	+4	82 %
7	+8	95 %
8	+8	94 %
9	+10	97 %
10	+8	95 %
11	+4	88 %
12	+6	92 %
13	+4	91 %
14	+6	100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Grigorij Laguta	5	9.8	14	+4.2
Rune Holta	5	6.8	9	+2.2
Krzysztof Kasprzak	6	9.7	11	+1.3
Bartosz Zmarzlik	5	7.8	9	+1.2
Michael Jepsen Jensen	5	8.0	9	+1.0
Artur Czaja	3	3.4	4	+0.6
Linus Sundstroem	3	3.7	4	+0.3
Tomasz Gapiński	5	6.1	6	-0.1
Emil Sajfutdinow	5	10.7	10	-0.7
Adrian Cyfer	3	1.9	1	-0.9
Hubert Legowik	3	1.7	0	-1.7
Łukasz Jankowski	2	1.7	0	-1.7
Rafał Szombierski	4	4.8	2	-2.8
Niels Kristian Iversen	6	13.9	11	-2.9

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 65.2964.17 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 28.7:29.3 outside C + D

Trend ▶ −1.07 towards the outside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source