LES vs BYD
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 5, 2013 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno
Results
- 9Przemysław Pawlicki3 3 2 1 312
- 10Damian Baliński1 1 1 25+1
- 11Fredrik Lindgren1 2 2 38+3
- 12Kenneth Bjerre2 3 3 3 112
- 13Grzegorz Zengota1 2 3 39+1
- 14Tobiasz Musielak2 3 1 17+1
- 15Piotr Pawlicki3 2 2 W7+1
- 1Mateusz Szczepaniak0 0 00
- 2Robert Kościecha2 0 1 25+1
- 3Hans Andersen0 0 D D0
- 4Oleksandr Loktayev3 1 1 3 2 212
- 5Krzysztof Buczkowski3 1 2 1 0 07
- 6Szymon Woźniak1 U 0 2 36
- 7Mikołaj Curyło0 00
Heat by heat
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES3
- Robert Kościecha · BYD2
- Damian Baliński · LES1
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES2*
- Szymon Woźniak · BYD1
- Mikołaj Curyło · BYD0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · BYD3
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES2
- Fredrik Lindgren · LES1*
- Hans Andersen · BYD0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1
- Szymon Woźniak · BYDU
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES3
- Fredrik Lindgren · LES2*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD1
- Robert Kościecha · BYD0
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2*
- Oleksandr Loktayev · BYD1
- Hans Andersen · BYD0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD2
- Damian Baliński · LES1
- Szymon Woźniak · BYD0
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2*
- Oleksandr Loktayev · BYD1
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · BYD3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES2
- Damian Baliński · LES1
- Hans Andersen · BYDD
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES3
- Fredrik Lindgren · LES2*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD1
- Mikołaj Curyło · BYD0
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES3
- Damian Baliński · LES2*
- Robert Kościecha · BYD1
- Hans Andersen · BYDD
- Fredrik Lindgren · LES3
- Szymon Woźniak · BYD2
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES1
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD0
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · BYD2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES1
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD0
- Szymon Woźniak · BYD3
- Robert Kościecha · BYD2*
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · BYD2
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES1
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 20 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 3 km/h N
- gusts up to 17 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 42 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 14 | 4 | +10 | −10 | |
| 8–10 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 11–13 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| LES | BYD | LES | BYD | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LES
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +14 | 99 % |
| 7 | +16 | 100 % |
| 8 | +20 | 100 % |
| 9 | +20 | 100 % |
| 10 | +24 | 100 % |
| 11 | +28 | 100 % |
| 12 | +30 | 100 % |
| 13 | +32 | 100 % |
| 14 | +28 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 6.7 | 12 | +5.3 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 9.1 | 12 | +2.9 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 4 | 6.2 | 9 | +2.8 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 6 | 9.9 | 12 | +2.1 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 4 | 6.0 | 7 | +1.0 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 4 | 7.3 | 8 | +0.7 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 5 | 5.7 | 6 | +0.3 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 4 | 6.8 | 7 | +0.2 |
| Robert Kościecha | 4 | 5.2 | 5 | -0.2 |
| Damian Baliński | 4 | 6.0 | 5 | -1.0 |
| Mikołaj Curyło | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Mateusz Szczepaniak | 3 | 2.1 | 0 | -2.1 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 6 | 10.5 | 7 | -3.5 |
| Hans Andersen | 4 | 6.4 | 0 | -6.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.