LES vs GNI

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, April 21, 2013 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno

Results

LES 49 : 41 GNI

LES

9Przemysław Pawlicki2 1 2 2 18+1
10Grzegorz Zengota1 2 3 2 08+1
11Kenneth Bjerre0 3 1 15
12Damian Baliński2 0 3 05
13Fredrik Lindgren1 1 2 15+1
14Tobiasz Musielak2 3 3 210+1
15Piotr Pawlicki3 3 1 18+2

GNI

1Matej Zagar3 1 3 3 2 315+1
2Bjarne Pedersen0 2 02
3Sebastian Ułamek3 0 0 03
4Piotr Świderski1 2 1 3 310
5Antonio Lindbäck2 3 0 2 1 210+1
6Oskar Fajfer1 W 0 01
7Wojciech LisieckiD 00

Heat by heat

Heat 160.72 s3:3

Heat 261.09 s5:1

Heat 361.94 s2:4

Heat 461.37 s4:2

Heat 561.60 s3:3

Heat 661.03 s4:2

Heat 761.40 s3:3

Heat 862.22 s3:3

Heat 962.07 s5:1

Heat 1062.28 s4:2

Heat 1162.63 s3:3

Heat 1262.25 s4:2

Heat 1362.06 s2:4

Heat 1463.09 s3:3

Heat 1562.31 s1:5

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Partly cloudy → Cloudy; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature: 16 → 15 °C; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Wind: 18 km/h E; gusts up to 38 km/h; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain during the meeting: 0 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity: 36 %; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	14	10	+4	−4
5–7	10	8	+2	−2
8–10	12	6	+6	−6
11–13	9	9	0	0
14–15	4	8	−4	+4
	LES	GNI	LES	GNI

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead LES

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	0	66 %
2	+4	86 %
3	+2	77 %
4	+4	83 %
5	+4	83 %
6	+6	88 %
7	+6	90 %
8	+6	90 %
9	+10	97 %
10	+12	100 %
11	+12	100 %
12	+14	100 %
13	+12	100 %
14	+12	100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Piotr Świderski	5	5.2	10	+4.8
Tobiasz Musielak	4	5.5	10	+4.5
Matej Zagar	6	13.1	15	+1.9
Piotr Pawlicki	4	6.1	8	+1.9
Grzegorz Zengota	5	6.8	8	+1.2
Antonio Lindbäck	6	10.6	10	-0.6
Przemysław Pawlicki	5	8.6	8	-0.6
Damian Baliński	4	6.0	5	-1.0
Kenneth Bjerre	4	6.0	5	-1.0
Bjarne Pedersen	3	3.1	2	-1.1
Fredrik Lindgren	4	6.8	5	-1.8
Wojciech Lisiecki	2	1.9	0	-1.9
Oskar Fajfer	4	3.7	1	-2.7
Sebastian Ułamek	4	6.5	3	-3.5

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 63.0960.72 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 26.0:32.7 outside C + D

Trend ▶ −2.67 towards the outside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source