LES vs GOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 18, 2013 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno
Results
- 9Kenneth Bjerre2 1 2 2 29+3
- 10Grzegorz Zengota3 2 3 2 010+1
- 11Damian Baliński2 0 1 2 05
- 12Mikkel Michelsen1 3 0 04+1
- 13Fredrik Lindgren1 2 03+1
- 14Marcin Nowak1 D U1
- 15Piotr PawlickiT 2 3 3 311
- 1Tomasz Gapiński1 23
- 2Daniel Nermark0 1 2 1 15+2
- 3Krzysztof Kasprzak3 3 1 W 18
- 4Paweł Hlib0 1 0 1 24
- 5Niels Kristian Iversen3 3 2 3 314+1
- 6Adrian Cyfer2 0 13+1
- 7Bartosz Zmarzlik3 0 1 3 310+1
Heat by heat
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES3
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES2*
- Tomasz Gapiński · GOR1
- Daniel Nermark · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Adrian Cyfer · GOR2*
- Marcin Nowak · LES1
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR3
- Damian Baliński · LES2
- Mikkel Michelsen · LES1*
- Paweł Hlib · GOR0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Fredrik Lindgren · LES1*
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR0
- Mikkel Michelsen · LES3
- Tomasz Gapiński · GOR2
- Daniel Nermark · GOR1*
- Damian Baliński · LES0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR3
- Fredrik Lindgren · LES2
- Paweł Hlib · GOR1
- Marcin Nowak · LESD
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES1*
- Adrian Cyfer · GOR0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Daniel Nermark · GOR2
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR1*
- Fredrik Lindgren · LES0
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES3
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES2*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR1
- Paweł Hlib · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR2*
- Damian Baliński · LES1
- Mikkel Michelsen · LES0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2*
- Daniel Nermark · GOR1
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Damian Baliński · LES2
- Adrian Cyfer · GOR1
- Marcin Nowak · LESU
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR3
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES2
- Paweł Hlib · GOR1
- Mikkel Michelsen · LES0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Paweł Hlib · GOR2
- Daniel Nermark · GOR1*
- Damian Baliński · LES0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR3
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR1
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 29 → 28 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 10 km/h W
- gusts up to 29 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 41 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| LES | GOR | LES | GOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LES
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | -2 | 46 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | -2 | 36 % |
| 11 | +2 | 68 % |
| 12 | 0 | 57 % |
| 13 | -2 | 33 % |
| 14 | -2 | 23 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grzegorz Zengota | 5 | 6.6 | 10 | +3.4 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 5 | 8.0 | 11 | +3.0 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 5 | 11.9 | 14 | +2.1 |
| Adrian Cyfer | 3 | 2.0 | 3 | +1.0 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 8.6 | 9 | +0.4 |
| Paweł Hlib | 5 | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 5 | 9.7 | 10 | +0.3 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 4 | 4.4 | 4 | -0.4 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 2 | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 5 | 9.2 | 8 | -1.2 |
| Marcin Nowak | 3 | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| Damian Baliński | 5 | 6.8 | 5 | -1.8 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 3 | 4.8 | 3 | -1.8 |
| Daniel Nermark | 5 | 8.2 | 5 | -3.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.