BYD vs RZE
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 18, 2013 · Stadion Miejski im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego, Bydgoszcz
Results
- 9Krzysztof Buczkowski1 1 2 3 18+1
- 10Mateusz Szczepaniak3 0 03
- 11Oleksandr Loktayev2 2 D 04
- 12Robert Kościecha0 1 3 04+1
- 13Hans Andersen3 2 2 3 212+1
- 14Mikołaj Curyło3 3 2 2 D10+1
- 15Szymon Woźniak2 1 0 25+1
- 1Nicki Pedersen2 3 3 3 314
- 2Dawid Lampart00
- 3Jurica Pavlic3 0 1 0 15
- 4Rafał Okoniewski1 1 3 1 39+1
- 5Grzegorz Walasek2 0 2 2 2 08+1
- 6Łukasz Sówka1 3 T 1 16
- 7Marco Gaschka0 0 1 12
Heat by heat
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD3
- Nicki Pedersen · RZE2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD1
- Dawid Lampart · RZE0
- Mikołaj Curyło · BYD3
- Szymon Woźniak · BYD2*
- Łukasz Sówka · RZE1
- Marco Gaschka · RZE0
- Jurica Pavlic · RZE3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · BYD2
- Rafał Okoniewski · RZE1
- Robert Kościecha · BYD0
- Hans Andersen · BYD3
- Grzegorz Walasek · RZE2
- Szymon Woźniak · BYD1
- Marco Gaschka · RZE0
- Nicki Pedersen · RZE3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · BYD2
- Robert Kościecha · BYD1*
- Grzegorz Walasek · RZE0
- Mikołaj Curyło · BYD3
- Hans Andersen · BYD2*
- Rafał Okoniewski · RZE1
- Jurica Pavlic · RZE0
- Łukasz Sówka · RZE3
- Grzegorz Walasek · RZE2*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD1
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD0
- Nicki Pedersen · RZE3
- Hans Andersen · BYD2
- Marco Gaschka · RZE1
- Szymon Woźniak · BYD0
- Rafał Okoniewski · RZE3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD2
- Jurica Pavlic · RZE1
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD0
- Robert Kościecha · BYD3
- Grzegorz Walasek · RZE2
- Marco Gaschka · RZE1
- Oleksandr Loktayev · BYDD
- Hans Andersen · BYD3
- Mikołaj Curyło · BYD2*
- Łukasz Sówka · RZE1
- Jurica Pavlic · RZE0
- Nicki Pedersen · RZE3
- Mikołaj Curyło · BYD2
- Łukasz Sówka · RZE1
- Oleksandr Loktayev · BYD0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD3
- Grzegorz Walasek · RZE2
- Rafał Okoniewski · RZE1*
- Robert Kościecha · BYD0
- Rafał Okoniewski · RZE3
- Szymon Woźniak · BYD2
- Jurica Pavlic · RZE1
- Mikołaj Curyło · BYDD
- Nicki Pedersen · RZE3
- Hans Andersen · BYD2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD1*
- Grzegorz Walasek · RZE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 29 → 27 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 12 km/h SW
- gusts up to 35 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 33 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| BYD | RZE | BYD | RZE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead BYD
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +10 | 97 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | +2 | 70 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | +2 | 77 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikołaj Curyło | 5 | 4.9 | 10 | +5.1 |
| Hans Andersen | 5 | 7.6 | 12 | +4.4 |
| Rafał Okoniewski | 5 | 7.1 | 9 | +1.9 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 12.1 | 14 | +1.9 |
| Mateusz Szczepaniak | 3 | 1.9 | 3 | +1.1 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 4 | 5.4 | 5 | -0.4 |
| Łukasz Sówka | 4 | 6.4 | 6 | -0.4 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 8.5 | 8 | -0.5 |
| Marco Gaschka | 4 | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| Robert Kościecha | 4 | 4.5 | 4 | -0.5 |
| Dawid Lampart | 1 | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 4 | 6.4 | 4 | -2.4 |
| Jurica Pavlic | 5 | 9.3 | 5 | -4.3 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 6 | 12.5 | 8 | -4.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.