LES vs CZE
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 21, 2013 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno
Results
- 9Przemysław Pawlicki3 2 3 1 1 010
- 10Damian Baliński1 1 0 13+1
- 11Mikkel Michelsen0 00
- 12Grzegorz Zengota1 2 14+1
- 13Kenneth Bjerre0 3 3 3 0 110
- 14Marcin Nowak0 0 11
- 15Piotr Pawlicki3 2 1 D 2 311+1
- 1Grigorij Laguta2 3 2 3 212+1
- 2Rafał SzombierskiW 0 00
- 3Rune Holta2 2 2 2 210+1
- 4Michael Jepsen Jensen3 1 1 2 07+3
- 5Emil Sajfutdinow3 3 3 3 315
- 6Artur Czaja2 0 24+1
- 7Adam Strzelec1 1 1 03+1
Heat by heat
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES3
- Grigorij Laguta · CZE2
- Damian Baliński · LES1
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Artur Czaja · CZE2
- Adam Strzelec · CZE1*
- Marcin Nowak · LES0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · CZE3
- Rune Holta · CZE2*
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1
- Mikkel Michelsen · LES0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · CZE3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Adam Strzelec · CZE1
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES0
- Grigorij Laguta · CZE3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1*
- Rafał Szombierski · CZE0
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES3
- Rune Holta · CZE2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · CZE1*
- Marcin Nowak · LES0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · CZE3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES2
- Damian Baliński · LES1*
- Artur Czaja · CZE0
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES3
- Grigorij Laguta · CZE2
- Adam Strzelec · CZE1
- Piotr Pawlicki · LESD
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES3
- Rune Holta · CZE2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · CZE1*
- Damian Baliński · LES0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · CZE3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1*
- Adam Strzelec · CZE0
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES3
- Rune Holta · CZE2
- Damian Baliński · LES1
- Rafał Szombierski · CZE0
- Grigorij Laguta · CZE3
- Artur Czaja · CZE2*
- Marcin Nowak · LES1
- Mikkel Michelsen · LES0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · CZE3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · CZE2*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES1
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Rune Holta · CZE2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · CZE0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · CZE3
- Grigorij Laguta · CZE2*
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 28 → 29 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 9 km/h NW
- gusts up to 24 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 28 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 10 | 14 | −4 | +4 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| LES | CZE | LES | CZE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LES
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | -4 | 38 % |
| 5 | -4 | 34 % |
| 6 | -4 | 33 % |
| 7 | -4 | 32 % |
| 8 | -4 | 35 % |
| 9 | -4 | 28 % |
| 10 | -4 | 22 % |
| 11 | -2 | 36 % |
| 12 | -6 | 6 % |
| 13 | -10 | 1 % |
| 14 | -8 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 5 | 10.0 | 15 | +5.0 |
| Rune Holta | 5 | 7.8 | 10 | +2.2 |
| Grigorij Laguta | 5 | 10.9 | 12 | +1.1 |
| Artur Czaja | 3 | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 6 | 9.4 | 10 | +0.6 |
| Adam Strzelec | 4 | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 6 | 9.6 | 10 | +0.4 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 6 | 11.1 | 11 | -0.1 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 3 | 4.6 | 4 | -0.6 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 8.3 | 7 | -1.3 |
| Marcin Nowak | 3 | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| Damian Baliński | 4 | 5.0 | 3 | -2.0 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 2 | 2.2 | 0 | -2.2 |
| Rafał Szombierski | 3 | 3.1 | 0 | -3.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.