LES vs ZIE
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 30, 2013 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno
Results
- 9Przemysław Pawlicki2 1 3 2 210+1
- 10Damian Baliński1 3 2 3 110+1
- 11Mikkel Michelsen1 1 02+2
- 12Grzegorz Zengota2 2 1 3 08
- 13Kenneth Bjerre2 3 3 0 08
- 14Tobiasz MusielakW 1 12+1
- 15Piotr Pawlicki2 1 U 25+1
- 2Jonas DavidssonD 0 11
- 3Piotr Protasiewicz3 2 2 1 1 211+2
- 4Krzysztof Jabłoński0 0 0 0 00
- 5Jarosław Hampel3 3 2 3 1 3 318
- 6Patryk Dudek3 3 D 2 2 3 114+1
- 7Alex Zgardziński1 01
Heat by heat
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES2
- Damian Baliński · LES1
- Jonas Davidsson · ZIED
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Alex Zgardziński · ZIE1
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2
- Mikkel Michelsen · LES1*
- Krzysztof Jabłoński · ZIE0
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE3
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES2
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1*
- Alex Zgardziński · ZIE0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2
- Mikkel Michelsen · LES1*
- Jonas Davidsson · ZIE0
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES1
- Krzysztof Jabłoński · ZIE0
- Damian Baliński · LES3
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES1
- Patryk Dudek · ZIED
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Jonas Davidsson · ZIE1
- Piotr Pawlicki · LESU
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES3
- Damian Baliński · LES2*
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Krzysztof Jabłoński · ZIE0
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2*
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1
- Mikkel Michelsen · LES0
- Damian Baliński · LES3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1*
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES1*
- Krzysztof Jabłoński · ZIE0
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES2*
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE1
- Krzysztof Jabłoński · ZIE0
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES2
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES0
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2*
- Damian Baliński · LES1
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 15 → 13 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 15 km/h W
- gusts up to 32 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 1.5 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 62 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 3 | 9 | −6 | +6 | |
| LES | ZIE | LES | ZIE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LES
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +2 | 70 % |
| 11 | +2 | 68 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +4 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Baliński | 5 | 4.8 | 10 | +5.2 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 7 | 15.3 | 18 | +2.7 |
| Patryk Dudek | 7 | 12.4 | 14 | +1.6 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 5 | 6.8 | 8 | +1.2 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 8.9 | 10 | +1.1 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 7.8 | 8 | +0.2 |
| Alex Zgardziński | 2 | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 6 | 11.3 | 11 | -0.3 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 3 | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 4 | 6.2 | 5 | -1.2 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 3 | 4.1 | 2 | -2.1 |
| Jonas Davidsson | 3 | 3.7 | 1 | -2.7 |
| Krzysztof Jabłoński | 5 | 4.9 | 0 | -4.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.