GOR vs LES
PGE Ekstraliga · Saturday, April 27, 2013 · Stadion GBS Gorzów im. Edwarda Jancarza, Gorzów Wielkopolski
Results
- 9Krzysztof Kasprzak3 3 1 D 18
- 10Paweł Hlib0 0 00
- 11Niels Kristian IversenT 3 3 3 3 315
- 12Linus Sundstroem2 1 1 15
- 13Daniel Nermark0 2 W U2
- 14Łukasz Cyran3 W 14
- 15Bartosz Zmarzlik2 0 2 2 3 09+1
- 1Grzegorz Zengota1 W 3 2 17+2
- 2Damian Baliński2 2 1 16
- 3Fredrik Lindgren3 3 2 2 212+1
- 4Kenneth Bjerre1 1 3 3 210
- 5Przemysław Pawlicki3 2 2 2 09+1
- 6Piotr Pawlicki0 1 T1+1
- 7Tobiasz Musielak1 1 U2
Heat by heat
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR3
- Damian Baliński · LES2
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1*
- Paweł Hlib · GOR0
- Łukasz Cyran · GOR3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2*
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES1
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES0
- Fredrik Lindgren · LES3
- Linus Sundstroem · GOR2
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES1
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES1
- Daniel Nermark · GOR0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR3
- Damian Baliński · LES2
- Linus Sundstroem · GOR1
- Fredrik Lindgren · LES3
- Daniel Nermark · GOR2
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES1
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES2
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1*
- Paweł Hlib · GOR0
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2
- Damian Baliński · LES1
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES3
- Fredrik Lindgren · LES2*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR1
- Paweł Hlib · GOR0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES2
- Linus Sundstroem · GOR1
- Tobiasz Musielak · LESU
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Fredrik Lindgren · LES2
- Damian Baliński · LES1
- Daniel Nermark · GORU
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2
- Łukasz Cyran · GOR1
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES2*
- Linus Sundstroem · GOR1
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GORD
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR3
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES2
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1*
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR3
- Fredrik Lindgren · LES2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Drizzle
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 8 → 7 °C
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Wind
- 12 km/h NE
- gusts up to 29 km/h
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0.3 mm
- Rain likely: a second model agrees
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 8.8 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 86 %
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| GOR | LES | GOR | LES | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | -6 | 20 % |
| 10 | -4 | 22 % |
| 11 | -4 | 18 % |
| 12 | -2 | 35 % |
| 13 | -6 | 4 % |
| 14 | -6 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 5 | 10.6 | 15 | +4.4 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 8.5 | 12 | +3.5 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 7.0 | 10 | +3.0 |
| Łukasz Cyran | 3 | 1.9 | 4 | +2.1 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 6 | 7.9 | 9 | +1.1 |
| Damian Baliński | 4 | 5.5 | 6 | +0.5 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 8.5 | 9 | +0.5 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 5 | 8.0 | 8 | -0.0 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 5 | 7.8 | 7 | -0.8 |
| Linus Sundstroem | 4 | 6.0 | 5 | -1.0 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 3 | 3.8 | 2 | -1.8 |
| Paweł Hlib | 3 | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 3 | 5.0 | 1 | -4.0 |
| Daniel Nermark | 4 | 7.6 | 2 | -5.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.