LES vs BYD

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 17, 2012 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno

Results

LES 51 : 39 BYD

LES

9Troy Batchelor2 3 0 05+1
10Kamil Adamczewski3 1 1 16+1
11Przemysław Pawlicki3 1 3 3 010+1
12Damian Baliński2 2 1 2 29+1
13Jurica Pavlic2 3 2 2 312+1
14Tobiasz Musielak3 W3
15Piotr Pawlicki1 3 1 16+1

BYD

1Emil SajfutdinowD 3 D 25
2Artem Laguta1 01
3Robert Kościecha0 2 3 2 0 07+1
4Tomasz Gapiński1 1 3 3 3 112+1
5Krzysztof Buczkowski1 2 2 3 1 211
6Szymon WoźniakW 00
7Mikołaj Curyło2 0 0 13

Heat by heat

Heat 159.00 s4:2

Heat 259.56 s5:1

Heat 359.90 s5:1

Heat 459.72 s5:1

Heat 559.10 s3:3

Heat 660.28 s3:3

Heat 760.29 s4:2

Heat 859.91 s3:3

Heat 960.16 s1:5

Heat 1059.87 s4:2

Heat 1159.87 s3:3

Heat 1260.68 s3:3

Heat 1360.13 s2:4

Heat 1459.82 s3:3

Heat 1560.15 s3:3

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Partly cloudy → Clear; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature: 22 → 21 °C; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Wind: 8 km/h NW; gusts up to 20 km/h; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain during the meeting: 0 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 2.6 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity: 54 %; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	19	5	+14	−14
5–7	10	8	+2	−2
8–10	8	10	−2	+2
11–13	8	10	−2	+2
14–15	6	6	0	0
	LES	BYD	LES	BYD

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead LES

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	+2	79 %
2	+6	89 %
3	+10	98 %
4	+14	100 %
5	+14	100 %
6	+14	99 %
7	+16	100 %
8	+16	100 %
9	+12	99 %
10	+14	99 %
11	+14	100 %
12	+14	100 %
13	+12	100 %
14	+12	100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Jurica Pavlic	5	9.2	12	+2.8
Kamil Adamczewski	4	3.7	6	+2.3
Tomasz Gapiński	6	9.8	12	+2.2
Damian Baliński	5	7.0	9	+2.0
Przemysław Pawlicki	5	9.0	10	+1.0
Krzysztof Buczkowski	6	10.6	11	+0.4
Piotr Pawlicki	4	5.6	6	+0.4
Mikołaj Curyło	4	3.3	3	-0.3
Troy Batchelor	4	5.5	5	-0.5
Tobiasz Musielak	3	4.0	3	-1.0
Artem Laguta	2	2.7	1	-1.7
Robert Kościecha	6	8.9	7	-1.9
Szymon Woźniak	2	2.5	0	-2.5
Emil Sajfutdinow	4	8.3	5	-3.3

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 60.6859.00 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 36.7:22.0 outside C + D

Trend ◀ +1.83 towards the inside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source