LES vs TOR

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 10, 2012 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno

Results

LES 45 : 45 TOR

LES

10Piotr PawlickiT 2 2 0 26+1
11Przemysław Pawlicki1 2 2 2 2 09+2
12Damian BalińskiW 1 1 3 2 310+3
13Jurica Pavlic2 2 1 2 3 212
14Tobiasz Musielak3 2 0 0 05
15Kamil Adamczewski2 1 03+1

TOR

1Chris Holder3 3 3 3 315
2Adrian Miedziński0 0 2 3 16+1
3Darcy Ward3 3 3 1 111
4Karol Ząbik1 1 0 W2
5Ryan Sullivan3 3 1 1 08
6Emil Pulczyński1 1 13
7Łukasz Przedpełski0 D 00

Heat by heat

Heat 162.09 s5:1

Heat 261.01 s3:3

Heat 361.41 s2:4

Heat 461.25 s3:3

Heat 559.97 s3:3

Heat 660.03 s2:4

Darcy Ward · TOR3
Jurica Pavlic · LES2
Karol Ząbik · TOR1
Tobiasz Musielak · LES0

Heat 760.50 s2:4

Heat 860.44 s1:5

Heat 960.51 s3:3

Darcy Ward · TOR3
Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
Damian Baliński · LES1*
Karol Ząbik · TOR0

Heat 1060.54 s5:1

Heat 1160.25 s2:4

Heat 1260.32 s2:4

Heat 1361.14 s5:1

Heat 1461.37 s5:1

Heat 1561.32 s2:4

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Cloudy → Rain; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature: 20 → 17 °C; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Wind: 6 km/h N; gusts up to 15 km/h; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain during the meeting: 1.3 mm; Rain likely: a second model agrees; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0.5 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity: 62 %; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	13	11	+2	−2
5–7	7	11	−4	+4
8–10	9	9	0	0
11–13	9	9	0	0
14–15	7	5	+2	−2
	LES	TOR	LES	TOR

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead LES

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	+4	85 %
2	+4	86 %
3	+2	77 %
4	+2	73 %
5	+2	69 %
6	0	66 %
7	-2	46 %
8	-6	16 %
9	-6	20 %
10	-2	36 %
11	-4	18 %
12	-6	6 %
13	-2	33 %
14	+2	77 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Chris Holder	5	10.5	15	+4.5
Jurica Pavlic	6	8.7	12	+3.3
Damian Baliński	6	6.9	10	+3.1
Piotr Pawlicki	4	4.9	6	+1.1
Kamil Adamczewski	3	2.8	3	+0.2
Darcy Ward	5	11.4	11	-0.4
Emil Pulczyński	3	3.4	3	-0.4
Przemysław Pawlicki	6	9.7	9	-0.7
Tobiasz Musielak	5	6.1	5	-1.1
Adrian Miedziński	5	7.3	6	-1.3
Karol Ząbik	4	3.8	2	-1.8
Ryan Sullivan	5	11.1	8	-3.1
Łukasz Przedpełski	3	3.4	0	-3.4

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 62.0959.97 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 30.3:27.7 outside C + D

Trend ▶ −2.67 towards the outside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source