ZIE vs RZE
PGE Ekstraliga · Wednesday, June 13, 2012 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra
Results
- 9Andreas Jonsson2 3 3 2 313+1
- 10Jonas Davidsson1 1 02+1
- 11Rune Holta2 1 2 3 08
- 12Oleksandr Loktayev0 3 1 3 310+1
- 13Piotr Protasiewicz3 3 3 W 110
- 14Patryk Dudek1 0 2 14
- 15Adam Strzelec3 0 03
- 1Grzegorz Walasek3 2 2 2 2 213
- 2Maciej Kuciapa0 0 1 W1+1
- 3Rafał Okoniewski3 2 1 3 09+1
- 4Joonas Kylmakorpi1 1 2 15+1
- 5Jason Crump2 2 3 0 18+1
- 6Marco Gaschka2 0 02
- 7Damian Michalski0 1 01+1
Heat by heat
- Adam Strzelec · ZIE3
- Marco Gaschka · RZE2
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1
- Damian Michalski · RZE0
- Grzegorz Walasek · RZE3
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE2
- Jonas Davidsson · ZIE1*
- Maciej Kuciapa · RZE0
- Rafał Okoniewski · RZE3
- Rune Holta · ZIE2
- Joonas Kylmakorpi · RZE1
- Oleksandr Loktayev · ZIE0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Jason Crump · RZE2
- Damian Michalski · RZE1*
- Adam Strzelec · ZIE0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · ZIE3
- Grzegorz Walasek · RZE2
- Rune Holta · ZIE1
- Maciej Kuciapa · RZE0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Rafał Okoniewski · RZE2
- Joonas Kylmakorpi · RZE1*
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE0
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE3
- Jason Crump · RZE2
- Jonas Davidsson · ZIE1
- Marco Gaschka · RZE0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Grzegorz Walasek · RZE2
- Maciej Kuciapa · RZE1*
- Adam Strzelec · ZIE0
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE3
- Joonas Kylmakorpi · RZE2
- Rafał Okoniewski · RZE1*
- Jonas Davidsson · ZIE0
- Jason Crump · RZE3
- Rune Holta · ZIE2
- Oleksandr Loktayev · ZIE1*
- Damian Michalski · RZE0
- Rafał Okoniewski · RZE3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2
- Rune Holta · ZIE3
- Grzegorz Walasek · RZE2
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1
- Marco Gaschka · RZE0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · ZIE3
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE2*
- Joonas Kylmakorpi · RZE1
- Jason Crump · RZE0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · ZIE3
- Grzegorz Walasek · RZE2
- Jason Crump · RZE1*
- Rune Holta · ZIE0
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE3
- Grzegorz Walasek · RZE2
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Rafał Okoniewski · RZE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 16 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 12 km/h NW
- gusts up to 37 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 1.6 mm
- Rain likely: a second model agrees
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.2 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 88 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 6 | +5 | −5 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| ZIE | RZE | ZIE | RZE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead ZIE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | +3 | 88 % |
| 12 | +5 | 92 % |
| 13 | +9 | 100 % |
| 14 | +9 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 5 | 5.2 | 10 | +4.8 |
| Andreas Jonsson | 5 | 10.4 | 13 | +2.6 |
| Rafał Okoniewski | 5 | 6.7 | 9 | +2.3 |
| Rune Holta | 5 | 6.6 | 8 | +1.4 |
| Adam Strzelec | 3 | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 5 | 9.7 | 10 | +0.3 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 6 | 12.9 | 13 | +0.1 |
| Marco Gaschka | 3 | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| Joonas Kylmakorpi | 4 | 6.4 | 5 | -1.4 |
| Jonas Davidsson | 3 | 3.6 | 2 | -1.6 |
| Maciej Kuciapa | 4 | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| Damian Michalski | 3 | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| Jason Crump | 5 | 10.9 | 8 | -2.9 |
| Patryk Dudek | 4 | 7.1 | 4 | -3.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.