LES vs GDA
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 20, 2012 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno
Results
- 9Jarosław Hampel3 3 3 2 011
- 10Piotr Pawlicki1 1 0 24
- 11Przemysław Pawlicki2 2 2 3 312+3
- 12Jurica Pavlic3 3 3 D 211
- 13Troy Batchelor0 2 2 D4
- 14Kamil Adamczewski2 D D2
- 15Tobiasz Musielak1 2 1 26+3
- 1Tomas H Jonasson2 1 3 3 2 112
- 2Kamil Brzozowski0 D0
- 3Tomasz Chrzanowski1 1 0 1 1 15+1
- 4Maksims BogdanovsD 2 13
- 5Nicki Pedersen3 3 2 1 3 315
- 6Krystian Pieszczek3 1 0 1 05
- 7Marcel Szymko0 00
Heat by heat
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA3
- Kamil Adamczewski · LES2
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES1*
- Marcel Szymko · GDA0
- Jarosław Hampel · LES3
- Tomas H Jonasson · GDA2
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1
- Kamil Brzozowski · GDA0
- Jurica Pavlic · LES3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES2*
- Tomasz Chrzanowski · GDA1
- Maksims Bogdanovs · GDAD
- Nicki Pedersen · GDA3
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES2
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA1
- Troy Batchelor · LES0
- Jurica Pavlic · LES3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES2*
- Tomas H Jonasson · GDA1
- Kamil Brzozowski · GDAD
- Nicki Pedersen · GDA3
- Troy Batchelor · LES2
- Tomasz Chrzanowski · GDA1
- Kamil Adamczewski · LESD
- Jarosław Hampel · LES3
- Nicki Pedersen · GDA2
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA0
- Tomas H Jonasson · GDA3
- Troy Batchelor · LES2
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES1*
- Tomasz Chrzanowski · GDA0
- Jarosław Hampel · LES3
- Maksims Bogdanovs · GDA2
- Tomasz Chrzanowski · GDA1*
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES0
- Jurica Pavlic · LES3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES2*
- Nicki Pedersen · GDA1
- Marcel Szymko · GDA0
- Tomas H Jonasson · GDA3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Tomasz Chrzanowski · GDA1
- Troy Batchelor · LESD
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES3
- Tomas H Jonasson · GDA2
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA1
- Kamil Adamczewski · LESD
- Nicki Pedersen · GDA3
- Jarosław Hampel · LES2
- Maksims Bogdanovs · GDA1
- Jurica Pavlic · LESD
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES3
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES2*
- Tomasz Chrzanowski · GDA1
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA0
- Nicki Pedersen · GDA3
- Jurica Pavlic · LES2
- Tomas H Jonasson · GDA1
- Jarosław Hampel · LES0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 27 → 24 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 14 km/h SE
- gusts up to 38 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 31 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| LES | GDA | LES | GDA | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LES
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +12 | 100 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +10 | 98 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +12 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jurica Pavlic | 5 | 6.7 | 11 | +4.3 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 9.3 | 12 | +2.7 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 5 | 9.8 | 11 | +1.2 |
| Tomas H Jonasson | 6 | 10.8 | 12 | +1.2 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 4 | 5.7 | 6 | +0.3 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 6 | 14.7 | 15 | +0.3 |
| Maksims Bogdanovs | 3 | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| Krystian Pieszczek | 5 | 5.7 | 5 | -0.7 |
| Tomasz Chrzanowski | 6 | 6.2 | 5 | -1.2 |
| Kamil Adamczewski | 3 | 3.4 | 2 | -1.4 |
| Kamil Brzozowski | 2 | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 4 | 5.6 | 4 | -1.6 |
| Marcel Szymko | 2 | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Troy Batchelor | 4 | 6.1 | 4 | -2.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.