TOR vs ZIE
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, October 14, 2012 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Ryan Sullivan3 3 3 2 213
- 10Darcy Ward2 2 1 3 19+3
- 11Adrian Miedziński1 1 3 3 19
- 12Paweł Przedpełski11
- 13Chris Holder1 3 2 0 39
- 14Kamil Pulczyński1 0 0 12
- 15Emil Pulczyński3 3 0 1 07+1
- 1Andreas Jonsson1 2 3 2 2 2 315+1
- 3Oleksandr Loktayev0 2 1 0 14+3
- 4Rune Holta3 2 0 2 3 010
- 5Piotr Protasiewicz2 3 1 2 1 W9
- 6Adam Strzelec2 0 0 02
- 7Kacper Rogowski0 00
Heat by heat
- Emil Pulczyński · TOR3
- Adam Strzelec · ZIE2
- Kamil Pulczyński · TOR1
- Kacper Rogowski · ZIE0
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Darcy Ward · TOR2*
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE1
- Oleksandr Loktayev · ZIE0
- Rune Holta · ZIE3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · ZIE2*
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1
- Kamil Pulczyński · TOR0
- Emil Pulczyński · TOR3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Kacper Rogowski · ZIE0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE2*
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1
- Emil Pulczyński · TOR0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Rune Holta · ZIE2
- Oleksandr Loktayev · ZIE1*
- Kamil Pulczyński · TOR0
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Darcy Ward · TOR2*
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Adam Strzelec · ZIE0
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Emil Pulczyński · TOR1*
- Rune Holta · ZIE0
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Rune Holta · ZIE2
- Darcy Ward · TOR1
- Oleksandr Loktayev · ZIE0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1
- Adam Strzelec · ZIE0
- Darcy Ward · TOR3
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE2
- Oleksandr Loktayev · ZIE1*
- Chris Holder · TOR0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE2
- Kamil Pulczyński · TOR1
- Adam Strzelec · ZIE0
- Rune Holta · ZIE3
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR2
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Emil Pulczyński · TOR0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE2
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE3
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR2
- Darcy Ward · TOR1*
- Rune Holta · ZIE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 12 → 6 °C
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Wind
- 5 km/h E
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 84 %
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| TOR | ZIE | TOR | ZIE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +8 | 95 % |
| 12 | +10 | 98 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +10 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andreas Jonsson | 7 | 9.3 | 15 | +5.7 |
| Ryan Sullivan | 5 | 10.5 | 13 | +2.5 |
| Rune Holta | 6 | 8.0 | 10 | +2.0 |
| Emil Pulczyński | 5 | 5.9 | 7 | +1.1 |
| Darcy Ward | 5 | 7.9 | 9 | +1.1 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 1 | 1.0 | 1 | -0.0 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 5 | 10.1 | 9 | -1.1 |
| Adam Strzelec | 4 | 3.5 | 2 | -1.5 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 6 | 10.5 | 9 | -1.5 |
| Kamil Pulczyński | 4 | 3.7 | 2 | -1.7 |
| Kacper Rogowski | 2 | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 11.4 | 9 | -2.4 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 5 | 6.6 | 4 | -2.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.