TOR vs GDA
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, April 15, 2012 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Chris Holder2 3 3 3 314+1
- 10Darcy Ward3 1 2 2 19+3
- 11Adrian Miedziński2 3 2 3 212+1
- 12Zbigniew Czerwiński3 2 D 16+1
- 13Ryan Sullivan1 3 3 3 212+2
- 14Kamil Pulczyński2 2 04+2
- 15Emil Pulczyński3 2 16
- 1Tomas H JonassonW 1 0 2 36
- 2Kamil Brzozowski1 0 0 01
- 3Tomasz Chrzanowski0 0 0 11
- 4Maksims Bogdanovs1 1 1 W3
- 5Nicki Pedersen3 2 2 3 212
- 6Krystian Pieszczek1 0 1 13+1
- 7Marcel Szymko0 0 1 01
Heat by heat
- Emil Pulczyński · TOR3
- Kamil Pulczyński · TOR2*
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA1
- Marcel Szymko · GDA0
- Darcy Ward · TOR3
- Chris Holder · TOR2*
- Kamil Brzozowski · GDA1
- Zbigniew Czerwiński · TOR3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2*
- Maksims Bogdanovs · GDA1
- Tomasz Chrzanowski · GDA0
- Nicki Pedersen · GDA3
- Emil Pulczyński · TOR2
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR1*
- Marcel Szymko · GDA0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Zbigniew Czerwiński · TOR2*
- Tomas H Jonasson · GDA1
- Kamil Brzozowski · GDA0
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Kamil Pulczyński · TOR2*
- Maksims Bogdanovs · GDA1
- Tomasz Chrzanowski · GDA0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Nicki Pedersen · GDA2
- Darcy Ward · TOR1
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA0
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Nicki Pedersen · GDA2
- Emil Pulczyński · TOR1
- Tomas H Jonasson · GDA0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Darcy Ward · TOR2*
- Maksims Bogdanovs · GDA1
- Tomasz Chrzanowski · GDA0
- Nicki Pedersen · GDA3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2
- Marcel Szymko · GDA1
- Zbigniew Czerwiński · TORD
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Darcy Ward · TOR2*
- Tomasz Chrzanowski · GDA1
- Kamil Brzozowski · GDA0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Tomas H Jonasson · GDA2
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA1*
- Kamil Pulczyński · TOR0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Nicki Pedersen · GDA2
- Zbigniew Czerwiński · TOR1
- Tomas H Jonasson · GDA3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2
- Darcy Ward · TOR1*
- Kamil Brzozowski · GDA0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR2*
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA1
- Marcel Szymko · GDA0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Showers
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 7 °C
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Wind
- 14 km/h N
- gusts up to 43 km/h
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0.4 mm
- Rain likely: a second model agrees
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 1.1 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 88 %
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 18 | 6 | +12 | −12 | |
| 5–7 | 14 | 4 | +10 | −10 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| TOR | GDA | TOR | GDA | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +8 | 96 % |
| 3 | +12 | 98 % |
| 4 | +12 | 96 % |
| 5 | +16 | 100 % |
| 6 | +20 | 99 % |
| 7 | +22 | 100 % |
| 8 | +24 | 100 % |
| 9 | +28 | 100 % |
| 10 | +26 | 100 % |
| 11 | +30 | 100 % |
| 12 | +30 | 100 % |
| 13 | +32 | 100 % |
| 14 | +32 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Holder | 5 | 9.5 | 14 | +4.5 |
| Emil Pulczyński | 3 | 3.2 | 6 | +2.8 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 5 | 9.9 | 12 | +2.1 |
| Zbigniew Czerwiński | 4 | 4.1 | 6 | +1.9 |
| Ryan Sullivan | 5 | 10.5 | 12 | +1.5 |
| Kamil Pulczyński | 3 | 2.6 | 4 | +1.4 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 11.3 | 12 | +0.7 |
| Darcy Ward | 5 | 9.2 | 9 | -0.2 |
| Maksims Bogdanovs | 4 | 4.2 | 3 | -1.2 |
| Krystian Pieszczek | 4 | 4.4 | 3 | -1.4 |
| Kamil Brzozowski | 4 | 3.5 | 1 | -2.5 |
| Tomas H Jonasson | 5 | 8.8 | 6 | -2.8 |
| Marcel Szymko | 4 | 4.3 | 1 | -3.3 |
| Tomasz Chrzanowski | 4 | 4.6 | 1 | -3.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.