LES vs ZIE

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 5, 2012 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno

Results

LES 39 : 51 ZIE

LES

9Przemysław Pawlicki2 2 2 0 1 07+1
10Kamil AdamczewskiU W0
11Troy Batchelor2 2 1 05+1
12Damian Baliński3 1 2 1 29
13Jurica Pavlic1 1 1 14+1
14Tobiasz Musielak0 2 3 16
15Piotr Pawlicki2 3 0 3 08

ZIE

1Piotr Protasiewicz3 3 2 3 112+1
2Łukasz Jankowski1 D 3 04
3Oleksandr Loktayev0 3 U 25
4Rune Holta1 0 2 25+2
5Andreas Jonsson2 3 3 3 314
6Patryk Dudek3 1 1 2 310+1
7Adam Strzelec1 0 W1

Heat by heat

Heat 161.90 s2:4

Heat 259.38 s2:4

Heat 359.31 s5:1

Heat 458.90 s4:2

Heat 558.94 s3:3

Heat 658.99 s3:3

Heat 758.97 s2:4

Heat 859.25 s1:5

Heat 959.69 s5:1

Heat 1058.94 s3:3

Heat 1159.78 s4:2

Heat 1259.89 s1:5

Heat 1359.22 s1:5

Heat 1459.96 s1:5

Heat 1559.81 s2:4

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Showers → Partly cloudy; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature: 27 → 22 °C; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Wind: 6 km/h W; gusts up to 21 km/h; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain during the meeting: 0 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 2.5 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity: 73 %; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	13	11	+2	−2
5–7	8	10	−2	+2
8–10	9	9	0	0
11–13	6	12	−6	+6
14–15	3	9	−6	+6
	LES	ZIE	LES	ZIE

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead LES

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	-2	53 %
2	-4	37 %
3	0	64 %
4	+2	73 %
5	+2	69 %
6	+2	74 %
7	0	60 %
8	-4	35 %
9	0	56 %
10	0	56 %
11	+2	68 %
12	-2	35 %
13	-6	4 %
14	-10	0 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Andreas Jonsson	5	11.3	14	+2.7
Damian Baliński	5	7.1	9	+1.9
Patryk Dudek	5	8.2	10	+1.8
Tobiasz Musielak	4	4.3	6	+1.7
Piotr Protasiewicz	5	10.6	12	+1.4
Piotr Pawlicki	5	7.1	8	+0.9
Łukasz Jankowski	4	3.8	4	+0.2
Troy Batchelor	4	5.1	5	-0.1
Rune Holta	4	5.5	5	-0.5
Oleksandr Loktayev	4	5.6	5	-0.6
Adam Strzelec	3	2.4	1	-1.4
Kamil Adamczewski	2	1.6	0	-1.6
Przemysław Pawlicki	6	10.1	7	-3.1
Jurica Pavlic	4	7.3	4	-3.3

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 61.9058.90 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 34.7:26.7 outside C + D

Trend ▶ −3.53 towards the outside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source