CZE vs GDA

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 29, 2012 · Krono-Plast Arena, Częstochowa

Results

CZE 61 : 29 GDA
CZE
GDA

Heat by heat

Heat 165.16 s4:2
Heat 263.92 s4:2
Heat 363.79 s5:1
Heat 463.72 s3:3
Heat 564.43 s4:2
Heat 663.50 s2:4
Heat 763.74 s4:2
Heat 864.25 s5:1
Heat 963.42 s5:1
Heat 1063.75 s4:2
Heat 1164.47 s5:1
Heat 1265.20 s4:2
Heat 1364.02 s4:2
Heat 1464.43 s5:1
Heat 1564.55 s3:3

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky
Partly cloudy → Rain
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature
20 → 21 °C
Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
Wind
5 km/h SW
gusts up to 39 km/h
Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
Rain during the meeting
1.3 mm
Rain likely: a second model agrees
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before
0 mm
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity
89 %
Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

PointsBalance
1–4168+8−8
5–7108+2−2
8–10144+10−10
11–13135+8−8
14–1584+4−4
CZEGDACZEGDA

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

  • Lead CZE
51015202530115
HeatLeadHome win chance
1+279 %
2+486 %
3+894 %
4+893 %
5+1096 %
6+895 %
7+1097 %
8+14100 %
9+18100 %
10+20100 %
11+24100 %
12+26100 %
13+28100 %
14+32100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

RiderheatsExpectedScored±
Kenneth Bjerre58.213+4.8
Rafał Szombierski55.710+4.3
Artur Czaja43.57+3.5
Grigorij Laguta48.912+3.1
Mirosław Jabłoński45.56+0.5
Daniel Nermark510.611+0.4
Renat Gafurov68.69+0.4
Hubert Legowik32.42-0.4
Tomasz Chrzanowski32.51-1.5
Marcel Szymko21.80-1.8
Nicki Pedersen615.613-2.6
Krystian Pieszczek44.82-2.8
Zbigniew Suchecki44.11-3.1
Piotr Świderski57.93-4.9

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 65.2063.42 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 36.0:24.0 outside C + D
Trend ▶ −4.07 towards the outside
Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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