ZIE vs GDA
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 15, 2012 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra
Results
- 9Andreas Jonsson1 2 3 2 19
- 10Rune Holta3 1 2 06+2
- 11Oleksandr Loktayev3 T 1 3 310+1
- 12Krzysztof Jabłoński0 3 2 16+1
- 13Piotr Protasiewicz3 3 3 3 315
- 14Remigiusz PerzyńskiD 0 00
- 15Adam Strzelec3 1 0 2 28+2
- 1Tomas H Jonasson2 1 0 2 05+1
- 2Piotr Świderski0 2 1 14
- 3Maksims Bogdanovs1 2 0 14+2
- 4Tomasz Chrzanowski2 1 1 0 04+1
- 5Nicki Pedersen2 3 3 2 3 215
- 6Marcel Szymko1 01
- 7Krystian Pieszczek2 0 0 13+1
Heat by heat
- Adam Strzelec · ZIE3
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA2
- Marcel Szymko · GDA1
- Remigiusz Perzyński · ZIED
- Rune Holta · ZIE3
- Tomas H Jonasson · GDA2
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE1
- Piotr Świderski · GDA0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · ZIE3
- Tomasz Chrzanowski · GDA2
- Maksims Bogdanovs · GDA1*
- Krzysztof Jabłoński · ZIE0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Nicki Pedersen · GDA2
- Adam Strzelec · ZIE1
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA0
- Krzysztof Jabłoński · ZIE3
- Piotr Świderski · GDA2
- Tomas H Jonasson · GDA1*
- Adam Strzelec · ZIE0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Maksims Bogdanovs · GDA2
- Tomasz Chrzanowski · GDA1*
- Remigiusz Perzyński · ZIE0
- Nicki Pedersen · GDA3
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE2
- Rune Holta · ZIE1*
- Marcel Szymko · GDA0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Adam Strzelec · ZIE2*
- Piotr Świderski · GDA1
- Tomas H Jonasson · GDA0
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE3
- Rune Holta · ZIE2*
- Tomasz Chrzanowski · GDA1
- Maksims Bogdanovs · GDA0
- Nicki Pedersen · GDA3
- Krzysztof Jabłoński · ZIE2
- Oleksandr Loktayev · ZIE1*
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Nicki Pedersen · GDA2
- Maksims Bogdanovs · GDA1*
- Rune Holta · ZIE0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · ZIE3
- Tomas H Jonasson · GDA2
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA1*
- Remigiusz Perzyński · ZIE0
- Nicki Pedersen · GDA3
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE2
- Krzysztof Jabłoński · ZIE1*
- Tomasz Chrzanowski · GDA0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · ZIE3
- Adam Strzelec · ZIE2*
- Piotr Świderski · GDA1
- Tomasz Chrzanowski · GDA0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Nicki Pedersen · GDA2
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE1
- Tomas H Jonasson · GDA0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 21 → 18 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 12 km/h W
- gusts up to 30 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.1 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 57 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| ZIE | GDA | ZIE | GDA | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead ZIE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +12 | 99 % |
| 10 | +12 | 100 % |
| 11 | +12 | 100 % |
| 12 | +12 | 100 % |
| 13 | +12 | 100 % |
| 14 | +16 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 5 | 9.7 | 15 | +5.3 |
| Adam Strzelec | 5 | 4.3 | 8 | +3.7 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 4 | 6.7 | 10 | +3.3 |
| Krzysztof Jabłoński | 4 | 4.1 | 6 | +1.9 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 6 | 13.7 | 15 | +1.3 |
| Rune Holta | 4 | 4.8 | 6 | +1.2 |
| Marcel Szymko | 2 | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| Tomasz Chrzanowski | 5 | 4.7 | 4 | -0.7 |
| Maksims Bogdanovs | 4 | 4.9 | 4 | -0.9 |
| Krystian Pieszczek | 4 | 4.9 | 3 | -1.9 |
| Tomas H Jonasson | 5 | 7.8 | 5 | -2.8 |
| Andreas Jonsson | 5 | 11.8 | 9 | -2.8 |
| Piotr Świderski | 4 | 6.9 | 4 | -2.9 |
| Remigiusz Perzyński | 3 | 4.2 | 0 | -4.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.