TOR vs LES
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 1, 2012 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Ryan Sullivan3 3 2 2 3 316+1
- 10Karol Ząbik1 0 01
- 11Adrian Miedziński2 0 3 3 210+2
- 13Chris Holder3 2 3 3 0 213+2
- 14Kamil Pulczyński3 3 0 1 29
- 15Emil Pulczyński2 3 0 2 18+2
- 1Przemysław Pawlicki2 2 2 3 2 112
- 2Kamil Adamczewski00
- 3Troy Batchelor0 1 3 1 38+1
- 4Damian Baliński1 1 2 1 1 06+1
- 5Jurica Pavlic0 1 1 02+1
- 6Piotr Pawlicki1 2 1 T 04+1
- 7Tobiasz Musielak0 1 01
Heat by heat
- Kamil Pulczyński · TOR3
- Emil Pulczyński · TOR2*
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES0
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES2
- Karol Ząbik · TOR1
- Kamil Adamczewski · LES0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2*
- Damian Baliński · LES1
- Troy Batchelor · LES0
- Emil Pulczyński · TOR3
- Chris Holder · TOR2*
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES1
- Jurica Pavlic · LES0
- Kamil Pulczyński · TOR3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES2
- Damian Baliński · LES1*
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Damian Baliński · LES2
- Troy Batchelor · LES1*
- Kamil Pulczyński · TOR0
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Jurica Pavlic · LES1*
- Karol Ząbik · TOR0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES2
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1*
- Emil Pulczyński · TOR0
- Troy Batchelor · LES3
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR2
- Damian Baliński · LES1
- Karol Ząbik · TOR0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR2*
- Jurica Pavlic · LES1
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES3
- Emil Pulczyński · TOR2
- Troy Batchelor · LES1
- Chris Holder · TOR0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES2
- Kamil Pulczyński · TOR1
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2*
- Damian Baliński · LES1
- Jurica Pavlic · LES0
- Troy Batchelor · LES3
- Kamil Pulczyński · TOR2
- Emil Pulczyński · TOR1*
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES0
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Chris Holder · TOR2*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES1
- Damian Baliński · LES0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear → Showers
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 28 °C
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Wind
- 11 km/h W
- gusts up to 29 km/h
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0.6 mm
- Rain likely: a second model agrees
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.6 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 54 %
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 19 | 5 | +14 | −14 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| TOR | LES | TOR | LES | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +10 | 98 % |
| 4 | +14 | 100 % |
| 5 | +14 | 100 % |
| 6 | +14 | 99 % |
| 7 | +14 | 100 % |
| 8 | +14 | 100 % |
| 9 | +12 | 99 % |
| 10 | +16 | 100 % |
| 11 | +14 | 100 % |
| 12 | +16 | 100 % |
| 13 | +20 | 100 % |
| 14 | +20 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamil Pulczyński | 5 | 3.7 | 9 | +5.3 |
| Ryan Sullivan | 6 | 11.0 | 16 | +5.0 |
| Emil Pulczyński | 5 | 6.0 | 8 | +2.0 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 5 | 8.2 | 10 | +1.8 |
| Troy Batchelor | 5 | 6.3 | 8 | +1.7 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 6 | 10.8 | 12 | +1.2 |
| Chris Holder | 6 | 13.5 | 13 | -0.5 |
| Kamil Adamczewski | 1 | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 |
| Karol Ząbik | 3 | 2.9 | 1 | -1.9 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 3 | 3.4 | 1 | -2.4 |
| Damian Baliński | 6 | 8.9 | 6 | -2.9 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 5 | 7.3 | 4 | -3.3 |
| Jurica Pavlic | 4 | 7.0 | 2 | -5.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.