TAR vs TOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 8, 2011 · Tarnów Stadium, Tarnów
Results
- 9Krzysztof Kasprzak3 2 3 2 313
- 10Leon Madsen2 1 2 0 05+3
- 11Fredrik Lindgren1 2 3 2 19
- 12Martin Vaculik0 1 1 13+1
- 13Sebastian Ułamek2 3 2 2 09
- 14Tadeusz KostroM0
- 15Łukasz Lesiak2 0 0 0 13
- 1Adrian MiedzińskiD W 1 3 37
- 2Chris Holder1 3 3 1 210
- 3Ryan Sullivan3 1 0 3 29+2
- 4Michael Jepsen Jensen2 2 1 05+1
- 5Rune Holta3 3 2 3 112+1
- 6Kamil PulczyńskiW 0 W0
- 7Emil Pulczyński3 1 04
Heat by heat
- Emil Pulczyński · TOR3
- Łukasz Lesiak · TAR2
- Tadeusz Kostro · TARM
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · TAR3
- Leon Madsen · TAR2*
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Adrian Miedziński · TORD
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · TOR2*
- Fredrik Lindgren · TAR1
- Martin Vaculik · TAR0
- Rune Holta · TOR3
- Sebastian Ułamek · TAR2
- Emil Pulczyński · TOR1
- Łukasz Lesiak · TAR0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Fredrik Lindgren · TAR2
- Martin Vaculik · TAR1
- Sebastian Ułamek · TAR3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · TOR2
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR1*
- Łukasz Lesiak · TAR0
- Rune Holta · TOR3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · TAR2
- Leon Madsen · TAR1*
- Kamil Pulczyński · TOR0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Sebastian Ułamek · TAR2
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1
- Łukasz Lesiak · TAR0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · TAR3
- Leon Madsen · TAR2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · TOR1
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR0
- Fredrik Lindgren · TAR3
- Rune Holta · TOR2
- Martin Vaculik · TAR1
- Emil Pulczyński · TOR0
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Sebastian Ułamek · TAR2
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Leon Madsen · TAR0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Fredrik Lindgren · TAR2
- Łukasz Lesiak · TAR1
- Rune Holta · TOR3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · TAR2
- Martin Vaculik · TAR1*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · TOR0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR2*
- Fredrik Lindgren · TAR1
- Leon Madsen · TAR0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · TAR3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Rune Holta · TOR1*
- Sebastian Ułamek · TAR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 16 → 14 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 15 km/h E
- gusts up to 41 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 10.7 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 50 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 10 | 13 | −3 | +3 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| TAR | TOR | TAR | TOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TAR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -1 | 66 % |
| 2 | +3 | 86 % |
| 3 | -1 | 64 % |
| 4 | -3 | 46 % |
| 5 | -3 | 47 % |
| 6 | -3 | 48 % |
| 7 | -3 | 46 % |
| 8 | -5 | 35 % |
| 9 | -1 | 56 % |
| 10 | +1 | 70 % |
| 11 | -1 | 48 % |
| 12 | -1 | 57 % |
| 13 | -1 | 56 % |
| 14 | -5 | 8 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 5 | 8.4 | 13 | +4.6 |
| Rune Holta | 5 | 9.8 | 12 | +2.2 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 8.3 | 10 | +1.7 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 7.6 | 9 | +1.4 |
| Sebastian Ułamek | 5 | 8.0 | 9 | +1.0 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 4 | 4.1 | 5 | +0.9 |
| Emil Pulczyński | 3 | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| Ryan Sullivan | 5 | 9.7 | 9 | -0.7 |
| Tadeusz Kostro | 1 | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 5 | 8.6 | 7 | -1.6 |
| Leon Madsen | 5 | 6.8 | 5 | -1.8 |
| Łukasz Lesiak | 5 | 5.3 | 3 | -2.3 |
| Martin Vaculik | 4 | 5.8 | 3 | -2.8 |
| Kamil Pulczyński | 3 | 3.1 | 0 | -3.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.