TOR vs WRO
PGE Ekstraliga · Saturday, April 23, 2011 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Adrian Miedziński3 1 W 3 29+2
- 10Chris Holder2 2 3 2 09+1
- 11Ryan Sullivan3 1 3 3 313
- 12Michael Jepsen Jensen1 3 1 16
- 13Rune Holta2 2 3 1 311+1
- 14Kamil Pulczyński2 0 W2
- 15Bartosz Pietrykowski0 1 01+1
- 1Piotr Świderski0 2 1 1 15+2
- 2Adam Shields1 0 2 03
- 3Tomasz Jędrzejak2 1 1 0 15
- 4Dennis Andersson0 u0
- 5Kenneth Bjerre3 3 2 3 2 215
- 6Maciej Janowski3 3 0 2 2 T10
- 7Patryk Malitowski1 0 U 01
Heat by heat
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Kamil Pulczyński · TOR2
- Patryk Malitowski · WRO1
- Bartosz Pietrykowski · TOR0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Chris Holder · TOR2*
- Adam Shields · WRO1
- Piotr Świderski · WRO0
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · TOR1
- Dennis Andersson · WRO0
- Kenneth Bjerre · WRO3
- Rune Holta · TOR2
- Bartosz Pietrykowski · TOR1*
- Patryk Malitowski · WRO0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · TOR3
- Piotr Świderski · WRO2
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR1
- Adam Shields · WRO0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Rune Holta · TOR2
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO1
- Bartosz Pietrykowski · TOR0
- Kenneth Bjerre · WRO3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1*
- Maciej Janowski · WRO0
- Rune Holta · TOR3
- Adam Shields · WRO2
- Piotr Świderski · WRO1*
- Kamil Pulczyński · TOR0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO1
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Kenneth Bjerre · WRO2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · TOR1
- Patryk Malitowski · WROU
- Kenneth Bjerre · WRO3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Rune Holta · TOR1*
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO0
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Piotr Świderski · WRO1
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Kenneth Bjerre · WRO2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · TOR1
- Patryk Malitowski · WRO0
- Rune Holta · TOR3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2*
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO1
- Adam Shields · WRO0
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Kenneth Bjerre · WRO2
- Piotr Świderski · WRO1*
- Chris Holder · TOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 16 → 13 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 14 km/h NE
- gusts up to 25 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.4 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 57 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| TOR | WRO | TOR | WRO | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +12 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Bjerre | 6 | 10.4 | 15 | +4.6 |
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 7.6 | 10 | +2.4 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 4 | 4.2 | 6 | +1.8 |
| Ryan Sullivan | 5 | 11.4 | 13 | +1.6 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 8.2 | 9 | +0.8 |
| Rune Holta | 5 | 10.7 | 11 | +0.3 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 5 | 8.8 | 9 | +0.2 |
| Tomasz Jędrzejak | 5 | 5.6 | 5 | -0.6 |
| Dennis Andersson | 1 | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 |
| Kamil Pulczyński | 3 | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| Piotr Świderski | 5 | 6.4 | 5 | -1.4 |
| Bartosz Pietrykowski | 3 | 3.1 | 1 | -2.1 |
| Adam Shields | 4 | 5.2 | 3 | -2.2 |
| Patryk Malitowski | 4 | 4.4 | 1 | -3.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.