TAR vs ZIE
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, April 10, 2011 · Tarnów Stadium, Tarnów
Results
- 9Sebastian Ułamek3 3 2 3 2 215+1
- 10Leon Madsen1 1 1 25+1
- 11Bjarne Pedersen1 0 23
- 12Martin Vaculik0 3 1 3 2 09
- 13Krzysztof Kasprzak2 1 2 1 06+1
- 14Jakub JamrógU 0 00
- 15Tadeusz Kostro1 1 02+1
- 1Andreas Jonsson0 2 3 3 311
- 2Jonas Davidsson2 1 1 04+1
- 3Greg Hancock3 2 3 3 314+1
- 4Rafał Dobrucki2 3 0 D 16+1
- 5Piotr Protasiewicz3 2 2 1 19
- 6Patryk Dudek3 0 14
- 7Adam Strzelec2 0 02+1
Heat by heat
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Adam Strzelec · ZIE2*
- Tadeusz Kostro · TAR1
- Jakub Jamróg · TARU
- Sebastian Ułamek · TAR3
- Jonas Davidsson · ZIE2
- Leon Madsen · TAR1
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE0
- Greg Hancock · ZIE3
- Rafał Dobrucki · ZIE2*
- Bjarne Pedersen · TAR1
- Martin Vaculik · TAR0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · TAR2
- Tadeusz Kostro · TAR1*
- Adam Strzelec · ZIE0
- Martin Vaculik · TAR3
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE2
- Jonas Davidsson · ZIE1*
- Bjarne Pedersen · TAR0
- Rafał Dobrucki · ZIE3
- Greg Hancock · ZIE2*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · TAR1
- Tadeusz Kostro · TAR0
- Sebastian Ułamek · TAR3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Leon Madsen · TAR1
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE0
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · TAR2
- Jonas Davidsson · ZIE1
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR0
- Greg Hancock · ZIE3
- Sebastian Ułamek · TAR2
- Leon Madsen · TAR1*
- Rafał Dobrucki · ZIE0
- Sebastian Ułamek · TAR3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Martin Vaculik · TAR1
- Adam Strzelec · ZIE0
- Greg Hancock · ZIE3
- Leon Madsen · TAR2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · TAR1*
- Jonas Davidsson · ZIE0
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE3
- Bjarne Pedersen · TAR2
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR0
- Martin Vaculik · TAR3
- Sebastian Ułamek · TAR2*
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Rafał Dobrucki · ZIED
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE3
- Martin Vaculik · TAR2
- Rafał Dobrucki · ZIE1
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · TAR0
- Greg Hancock · ZIE3
- Sebastian Ułamek · TAR2
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Martin Vaculik · TAR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Showers
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 9 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 29 km/h N
- gusts up to 65 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0.4 mm
- Possible showers: a second model has the day dry
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 1.2 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 49 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 9 | 15 | −6 | +6 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| TAR | ZIE | TAR | ZIE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TAR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | -6 | 32 % |
| 4 | -6 | 23 % |
| 5 | -6 | 22 % |
| 6 | -10 | 8 % |
| 7 | -8 | 13 % |
| 8 | -10 | 7 % |
| 9 | -10 | 2 % |
| 10 | -8 | 5 % |
| 11 | -8 | 8 % |
| 12 | -10 | 1 % |
| 13 | -6 | 4 % |
| 14 | -8 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebastian Ułamek | 6 | 7.3 | 15 | +7.7 |
| Greg Hancock | 5 | 10.5 | 14 | +3.5 |
| Andreas Jonsson | 5 | 9.8 | 11 | +1.2 |
| Martin Vaculik | 6 | 8.1 | 9 | +0.9 |
| Patryk Dudek | 3 | 4.5 | 4 | -0.5 |
| Leon Madsen | 4 | 5.7 | 5 | -0.7 |
| Tadeusz Kostro | 3 | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| Bjarne Pedersen | 3 | 3.8 | 3 | -0.8 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 5 | 9.8 | 9 | -0.8 |
| Jonas Davidsson | 4 | 4.9 | 4 | -0.9 |
| Adam Strzelec | 3 | 3.4 | 2 | -1.4 |
| Rafał Dobrucki | 5 | 7.8 | 6 | -1.8 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 5 | 8.7 | 6 | -2.7 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 3 | 2.9 | 0 | -2.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.