TOR vs ZIE
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 31, 2011 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Chris Holder1 2 1 0 26+2
- 10Adrian Miedziński3 3 3 3 315
- 11Rune Holta1 1 0 W2+2
- 12Michael Jepsen Jensen2 2 2 2 08
- 13Ryan Sullivan2 2 3 1 311
- 14Emil Pulczyński2 0 35+1
- 15Kamil Pulczyński3 1 04+1
- 1Andreas Jonsson2 0 1 2 16+1
- 2Jonas Davidsson0 2 02
- 3Greg Hancock3 3 2 2 1 112+1
- 4Grzegorz Zengota0 1 0 01
- 5Piotr Protasiewicz3 3 1 3 3 215
- 6Patryk Dudek1 0 1 13
- 7Adam Strzelec0 00
Heat by heat
- Kamil Pulczyński · TOR3
- Emil Pulczyński · TOR2*
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1
- Adam Strzelec · ZIE0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE2
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Jonas Davidsson · ZIE0
- Greg Hancock · ZIE3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · TOR2
- Rune Holta · TOR1*
- Grzegorz Zengota · ZIE0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR2
- Kamil Pulczyński · TOR1*
- Adam Strzelec · ZIE0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · TOR2
- Rune Holta · TOR1*
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE0
- Greg Hancock · ZIE3
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR2
- Grzegorz Zengota · ZIE1
- Kamil Pulczyński · TOR0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Chris Holder · TOR2*
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE0
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Jonas Davidsson · ZIE2
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE1*
- Emil Pulczyński · TOR0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Greg Hancock · ZIE2
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Grzegorz Zengota · ZIE0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · TOR2
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1
- Rune Holta · TOR0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Greg Hancock · ZIE2
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR1
- Jonas Davidsson · ZIE0
- Emil Pulczyński · TOR3
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE2
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · TOR2
- Greg Hancock · ZIE1
- Chris Holder · TOR0
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Chris Holder · TOR2*
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE1
- Grzegorz Zengota · ZIE0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Greg Hancock · ZIE1*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · TOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 20 → 18 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 9 km/h NW
- gusts up to 21 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.2 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 87 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| TOR | ZIE | TOR | ZIE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +10 | 97 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +10 | 98 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +12 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Miedziński | 5 | 5.0 | 15 | +10.0 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 3.9 | 8 | +4.1 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 6 | 12.0 | 15 | +3.0 |
| Kamil Pulczyński | 3 | 2.1 | 4 | +1.9 |
| Emil Pulczyński | 3 | 3.5 | 5 | +1.5 |
| Ryan Sullivan | 5 | 10.1 | 11 | +0.9 |
| Greg Hancock | 6 | 12.5 | 12 | -0.5 |
| Jonas Davidsson | 3 | 3.5 | 2 | -1.5 |
| Patryk Dudek | 4 | 4.8 | 3 | -1.8 |
| Adam Strzelec | 2 | 2.1 | 0 | -2.1 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 8.8 | 6 | -2.8 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 4 | 4.7 | 1 | -3.7 |
| Rune Holta | 4 | 5.9 | 2 | -3.9 |
| Andreas Jonsson | 5 | 11.1 | 6 | -5.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.