TAR vs WRO
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 31, 2011 · Tarnów Stadium, Tarnów
Results
- 9Krzysztof Kasprzak2 D 13+1
- 10Martin Vaculik1 3 2 06+1
- 11Bjarne Pedersen2 0 24+1
- 12Fredrik Lindgren3 2 16+1
- 13Sebastian Ułamek2 2 0 26
- 14Tadeusz Kostro0 11
- 15Łukasz Lesiak1 0 01
- 1Kenneth Bjerre3 3 28+1
- 2Lasse Bjerre00
- 3Tomasz Jędrzejak1 3 3 310
- 4Dennis Andersson0 1 01
- 5Piotr Świderski1 2 36
- 6Maciej Janowski3 1 1 38
- 7Patryk Malitowski2 3 0 16+1
Heat by heat
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Patryk Malitowski · WRO2*
- Łukasz Lesiak · TAR1
- Tadeusz Kostro · TAR0
- Kenneth Bjerre · WRO3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · TAR2
- Martin Vaculik · TAR1*
- Lasse Bjerre · WRO0
- Fredrik Lindgren · TAR3
- Bjarne Pedersen · TAR2*
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO1
- Dennis Andersson · WRO0
- Patryk Malitowski · WRO3
- Sebastian Ułamek · TAR2
- Piotr Świderski · WRO1
- Łukasz Lesiak · TAR0
- Kenneth Bjerre · WRO3
- Fredrik Lindgren · TAR2
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1
- Bjarne Pedersen · TAR0
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO3
- Sebastian Ułamek · TAR2
- Dennis Andersson · WRO1
- Łukasz Lesiak · TAR0
- Martin Vaculik · TAR3
- Piotr Świderski · WRO2
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · TARD
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Kenneth Bjerre · WRO2*
- Tadeusz Kostro · TAR1
- Sebastian Ułamek · TAR0
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO3
- Martin Vaculik · TAR2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · TAR1*
- Dennis Andersson · WRO0
- Piotr Świderski · WRO3
- Bjarne Pedersen · TAR2
- Fredrik Lindgren · TAR1*
- Patryk Malitowski · WRO0
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO3
- Sebastian Ułamek · TAR2
- Patryk Malitowski · WRO1
- Martin Vaculik · TAR0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO
- Tadeusz Kostro · TAR
- Kenneth Bjerre · WRO
- Bjarne Pedersen · TAR
- Fredrik Lindgren · TAR
- Dennis Andersson · WRO
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · TAR
- Piotr Świderski · WRO
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Showers
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 17 → 16 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 16 km/h W
- gusts up to 31 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0.8 mm
- Rain likely: a second model agrees
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 6.3 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 95 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 2 | 4 | −2 | +2 | |
| TAR | WRO | TAR | WRO | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TAR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | -4 | 34 % |
| 6 | -6 | 24 % |
| 7 | -6 | 18 % |
| 8 | -10 | 7 % |
| 9 | -10 | 2 % |
| 10 | -10 | 7 % |
| 11 | -12 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tomasz Jędrzejak | 4 | 6.5 | 10 | +3.5 |
| Patryk Malitowski | 4 | 3.7 | 6 | +2.3 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 4 | 7.7 | 8 | +0.3 |
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 7.7 | 8 | +0.3 |
| Martin Vaculik | 4 | 6.4 | 6 | -0.4 |
| Lasse Bjerre | 1 | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
| Piotr Świderski | 4 | 6.7 | 6 | -0.7 |
| Tadeusz Kostro | 3 | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| Łukasz Lesiak | 3 | 2.7 | 1 | -1.7 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 4 | 7.8 | 6 | -1.8 |
| Dennis Andersson | 4 | 3.3 | 1 | -2.3 |
| Sebastian Ułamek | 4 | 8.4 | 6 | -2.4 |
| Bjarne Pedersen | 4 | 7.0 | 4 | -3.0 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 4 | 7.2 | 3 | -4.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.