ZIE vs TAR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 17, 2011 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra
Results
- 9Andreas Jonsson2 3 3 1 312+2
- 10Jonas Davidsson3 2 0 2 18+1
- 11Greg Hancock3 2 2 3 111+2
- 12Grzegorz Zengota0 3 36
- 13Piotr Protasiewicz1 3 2 0 D6
- 14Patryk Dudek3 1 1 27+1
- 15Adam Strzelec2 3 05+1
- 1Krzysztof Kasprzak1 1 3 1 2 08
- 2Martin Vaculik0 0 00
- 3Sebastian Ułamek2 2 1 3 2 212+2
- 4Bjarne Pedersen1 1 2 04+2
- 5Fredrik Lindgren2 T 1 3 39
- 6Łukasz Lesiak1 0 1 02
- 7Edward MazurM M0
Heat by heat
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Adam Strzelec · ZIE2*
- Łukasz Lesiak · TAR1
- Edward Mazur · TARM
- Jonas Davidsson · ZIE3
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE2*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · TAR1
- Martin Vaculik · TAR0
- Greg Hancock · ZIE3
- Sebastian Ułamek · TAR2
- Bjarne Pedersen · TAR1*
- Grzegorz Zengota · ZIE0
- Adam Strzelec · ZIE3
- Fredrik Lindgren · TAR2
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Łukasz Lesiak · TAR0
- Grzegorz Zengota · ZIE3
- Greg Hancock · ZIE2*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · TAR1
- Martin Vaculik · TAR0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Sebastian Ułamek · TAR2
- Bjarne Pedersen · TAR1*
- Adam Strzelec · ZIE0
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE3
- Jonas Davidsson · ZIE2*
- Łukasz Lesiak · TAR1
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · TAR3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1*
- Martin Vaculik · TAR0
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE3
- Bjarne Pedersen · TAR2
- Sebastian Ułamek · TAR1*
- Jonas Davidsson · ZIE0
- Grzegorz Zengota · ZIE3
- Greg Hancock · ZIE2*
- Fredrik Lindgren · TAR1
- Edward Mazur · TARM
- Sebastian Ułamek · TAR3
- Jonas Davidsson · ZIE2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · TAR1
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE0
- Greg Hancock · ZIE3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · TAR2
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1
- Łukasz Lesiak · TAR0
- Fredrik Lindgren · TAR3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE1*
- Bjarne Pedersen · TAR0
- Fredrik Lindgren · TAR3
- Sebastian Ułamek · TAR2*
- Jonas Davidsson · ZIE1
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIED
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE3
- Sebastian Ułamek · TAR2
- Greg Hancock · ZIE1
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · TAR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 25 → 20 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 14 km/h W
- gusts up to 37 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 54 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 17 | 7 | +10 | −10 | |
| 5–7 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| ZIE | TAR | ZIE | TAR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead ZIE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +8 | 96 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +10 | 98 % |
| 5 | +14 | 100 % |
| 6 | +14 | 99 % |
| 7 | +18 | 100 % |
| 8 | +18 | 100 % |
| 9 | +18 | 100 % |
| 10 | +22 | 100 % |
| 11 | +20 | 100 % |
| 12 | +22 | 100 % |
| 13 | +22 | 100 % |
| 14 | +18 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebastian Ułamek | 6 | 8.2 | 12 | +3.8 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 3 | 3.4 | 6 | +2.6 |
| Jonas Davidsson | 5 | 5.6 | 8 | +2.4 |
| Patryk Dudek | 4 | 4.6 | 7 | +2.4 |
| Adam Strzelec | 3 | 2.8 | 5 | +2.2 |
| Andreas Jonsson | 5 | 11.1 | 12 | +0.9 |
| Greg Hancock | 5 | 11.3 | 11 | -0.3 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 9.3 | 9 | -0.3 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 6 | 8.6 | 8 | -0.6 |
| Łukasz Lesiak | 4 | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| Bjarne Pedersen | 4 | 5.9 | 4 | -1.9 |
| Edward Mazur | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Martin Vaculik | 3 | 4.0 | 0 | -4.0 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 5 | 10.1 | 6 | -4.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.