TOR vs TAR

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 19, 2011 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń

Results

TOR 56 : 34 TAR
TOR
TAR

Heat by heat

Heat 161.94 s5:1
Heat 259.96 s4:2
Heat 360.44 s4:2
Heat 460.41 s3:3
Heat 560.03 s5:1
Heat 660.28 s1:5
Heat 759.72 s4:2
Heat 860.25 s3:3
Heat 959.72 s4:2
Heat 1059.82 s4:2
Heat 1160.62 s5:1
Heat 1260.22 s2:4
Heat 1359.81 s5:1
Heat 1460.06 s2:4
Heat 1559.67 s5:1

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky
Partly cloudy
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature
18 → 16 °C
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Wind
7 km/h SW
gusts up to 40 km/h
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain during the meeting
0 mm
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before
0.8 mm
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity
63 %
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

PointsBalance
1–4168+8−8
5–7108+2−2
8–10117+4−4
11–13126+6−6
14–1575+2−2
TORTARTORTAR

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

  • Lead TOR
5101520115
HeatLeadHome win chance
1+485 %
2+689 %
3+894 %
4+893 %
5+1297 %
6+895 %
7+1097 %
8+1098 %
9+1299 %
10+1499 %
11+18100 %
12+16100 %
13+20100 %
14+18100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

RiderheatsExpectedScored±
Ryan Sullivan59.914+4.1
Chris Holder59.213+3.8
Michael Jepsen Jensen43.36+2.7
Adrian Miedziński56.49+2.6
Emil Pulczyński33.75+1.3
Bartosz Pietrykowski32.72-0.7
Fredrik Lindgren58.78-0.7
Bjarne Pedersen58.17-1.1
Krzysztof Kasprzak58.27-1.2
Rune Holta58.77-1.7
Łukasz Lesiak43.82-1.8
Tadeusz Kostro22.00-2.0
Martin Vaculik34.72-2.7
Sebastian Ułamek610.78-2.7

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 61.9459.67 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 40.7:25.3 outside C + D
Trend ▶ −1.63 towards the outside
Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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