ZIE vs TOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, April 3, 2011 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra
Results
- 9Andreas Jonsson2 2 3 2 110
- 10Jonas Davidsson1 1 1 14+3
- 11Greg Hancock2 3 0 2 29+1
- 12Rafał Dobrucki3 1 2 1 18+2
- 13Piotr Protasiewicz3 3 3 2 314
- 14Adam Strzelec2 0 13
- 15Kacper Rogowski1 1 02+1
- 1Adrian Miedziński3 2 2 3 3 215
- 3Ryan Sullivan1 2 1 D 0 37+1
- 4Karol Ząbik0 1 2 0 03+1
- 5Chris Holder2 0 3 3 3 011
- 6Emil Pulczyński3 0 0 1 W4
- 7Kamil Pulczyński0 00
Heat by heat
- Emil Pulczyński · TOR3
- Adam Strzelec · ZIE2
- Kacper Rogowski · ZIE1*
- Kamil Pulczyński · TOR0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE2
- Jonas Davidsson · ZIE1*
- Emil Pulczyński · TOR0
- Rafał Dobrucki · ZIE3
- Greg Hancock · ZIE2*
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR1
- Karol Ząbik · TOR0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Kacper Rogowski · ZIE1
- Kamil Pulczyński · TOR0
- Greg Hancock · ZIE3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2
- Rafał Dobrucki · ZIE1
- Chris Holder · TOR0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR2
- Karol Ząbik · TOR1*
- Kacper Rogowski · ZIE0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE2
- Jonas Davidsson · ZIE1*
- Emil Pulczyński · TOR0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR1*
- Adam Strzelec · ZIE0
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE3
- Karol Ząbik · TOR2
- Jonas Davidsson · ZIE1
- Ryan Sullivan · TORD
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Rafał Dobrucki · ZIE2
- Emil Pulczyński · TOR1
- Greg Hancock · ZIE0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Jonas Davidsson · ZIE1*
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Greg Hancock · ZIE2
- Adam Strzelec · ZIE1
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE2
- Rafał Dobrucki · ZIE1*
- Karol Ząbik · TOR0
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Greg Hancock · ZIE2
- Rafał Dobrucki · ZIE1*
- Karol Ząbik · TOR0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE1
- Chris Holder · TOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 23 → 18 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 13 km/h SE
- gusts up to 28 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 50 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| ZIE | TOR | ZIE | TOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead ZIE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +10 | 97 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +8 | 95 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Miedziński | 6 | 8.2 | 15 | +6.8 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 5 | 8.5 | 14 | +5.5 |
| Chris Holder | 6 | 9.6 | 11 | +1.4 |
| Rafał Dobrucki | 5 | 7.3 | 8 | +0.7 |
| Andreas Jonsson | 5 | 9.3 | 10 | +0.7 |
| Adam Strzelec | 3 | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| Emil Pulczyński | 5 | 4.4 | 4 | -0.4 |
| Jonas Davidsson | 4 | 5.1 | 4 | -1.1 |
| Kacper Rogowski | 3 | 3.4 | 2 | -1.4 |
| Karol Ząbik | 5 | 4.5 | 3 | -1.5 |
| Greg Hancock | 5 | 10.6 | 9 | -1.6 |
| Kamil Pulczyński | 2 | 2.6 | 0 | -2.6 |
| Ryan Sullivan | 6 | 13.2 | 7 | -6.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.