TOR vs TAR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 9, 2010 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Wiesław Jaguś2 3 2 310+1
- 10Hans Andersen1 2 3 3 312+2
- 11Chris Holder2 3 2 2 211+3
- 12Adrian Miedziński3 2 3 2 111+2
- 13Ryan Sullivan3 2 3 2 313+1
- 14Michael Jepsen Jensen2 1 1 2 17+3
- 15Emil Pulczyński00
- 1Martin Vaculik0 1 01
- 2Bjarne Pedersen3 0 1 1 0 16
- 3Sebastian Ułamek1 3 1 0 3 210
- 4Tomasz Jędrzejak0 0 00
- 5Krzysztof Kasprzak2 1 1 1 0 05
- 6Szymon Kiełbasa3 W 03
- 7Patrick Hougaard1 0 01
Heat by heat
- Szymon Kiełbasa · TAR3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · TOR2
- Patrick Hougaard · TAR1
- Emil Pulczyński · TOR0
- Bjarne Pedersen · TAR3
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR2
- Hans Andersen · TOR1*
- Martin Vaculik · TAR0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Chris Holder · TOR2*
- Sebastian Ułamek · TAR1
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · TAR0
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · TAR2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · TOR1
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2*
- Martin Vaculik · TAR1
- Bjarne Pedersen · TAR0
- Sebastian Ułamek · TAR3
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · TOR1*
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · TAR0
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR3
- Hans Andersen · TOR2*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · TAR1
- Patrick Hougaard · TAR0
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · TOR2*
- Bjarne Pedersen · TAR1
- Martin Vaculik · TAR0
- Hans Andersen · TOR3
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR2*
- Sebastian Ułamek · TAR1
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · TAR0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Chris Holder · TOR2*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · TAR1
- Szymon Kiełbasa · TAR0
- Hans Andersen · TOR3
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR2*
- Bjarne Pedersen · TAR1
- Sebastian Ułamek · TAR0
- Sebastian Ułamek · TAR3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · TOR1*
- Patrick Hougaard · TAR0
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · TAR1
- Bjarne Pedersen · TAR0
- Hans Andersen · TOR3
- Chris Holder · TOR2*
- Bjarne Pedersen · TAR1
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · TAR0
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Sebastian Ułamek · TAR2
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · TAR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 15 → 14 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 2 km/h S
- gusts up to 10 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 50 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 8–10 | 15 | 3 | +12 | −12 | |
| 11–13 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| TOR | TAR | TOR | TAR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +12 | 99 % |
| 8 | +16 | 100 % |
| 9 | +20 | 100 % |
| 10 | +24 | 100 % |
| 11 | +28 | 100 % |
| 12 | +28 | 100 % |
| 13 | +32 | 100 % |
| 14 | +36 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hans Andersen | 5 | 8.2 | 12 | +3.8 |
| Wiesław Jaguś | 4 | 6.2 | 10 | +3.8 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 5 | 8.1 | 11 | +2.9 |
| Ryan Sullivan | 5 | 10.2 | 13 | +2.8 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 9.3 | 11 | +1.7 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 5.8 | 7 | +1.2 |
| Szymon Kiełbasa | 3 | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| Sebastian Ułamek | 6 | 9.8 | 10 | +0.2 |
| Emil Pulczyński | 1 | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| Patrick Hougaard | 3 | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| Martin Vaculik | 3 | 3.9 | 1 | -2.9 |
| Bjarne Pedersen | 6 | 9.0 | 6 | -3.0 |
| Tomasz Jędrzejak | 3 | 3.3 | 0 | -3.3 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 6 | 9.7 | 5 | -4.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.