ZIE vs WRO

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 2, 2010 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra

Results

ZIE 43 : 47 WRO
ZIE
WRO

Heat by heat

Heat 161.28 s3:3
Heat 261.13 s3:3
Heat 360.63 s3:3
Heat 461.09 s3:3
Heat 561.75 s2:4
Heat 661.35 s3:3
Heat 761.75 s3:3
Heat 861.94 s2:4
Heat 961.75 s4:2
Heat 1062.03 s2:4
Heat 1161.81 s3:3
Heat 1262.32 s1:5
Heat 1362.03 s3:3
Heat 1462.06 s5:1
Heat 1561.62 s3:3

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky
Cloudy → Showers
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature
15 → 12 °C
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Wind
7 km/h NE
gusts up to 18 km/h
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain during the meeting
0.8 mm
Rain likely: a second model agrees
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before
0.2 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity
82 %
Regional estimate (Meteostat)

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

PointsBalance
1–4121200
5–7810−2+2
8–10810−2+2
11–13711−4+4
14–1584+4−4
ZIEWROZIEWRO

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

  • Lead ZIE
-8-6-4-20115
HeatLeadHome win chance
1066 %
2064 %
3064 %
4062 %
5-247 %
6-248 %
7-246 %
8-435 %
9-244 %
10-422 %
11-418 %
12-87 %
13-82 %
14-48 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

RiderheatsExpectedScored±
Kenneth Bjerre610.017+7.0
Jason Crump610.813+2.2
Grzegorz Zengota56.48+1.6
Patryk Dudek43.95+1.1
Leon Madsen66.87+0.2
Rafał Dobrucki59.09-0.0
Piotr Protasiewicz58.78-0.7
Dennis Andersson22.31-1.3
Maciej Janowski68.47-1.4
Greg Hancock611.610-1.6
Oleksandr Loktayev22.00-2.0
Fredrik Lindgren35.43-2.4
Daniel Jeleniewski44.62-2.6

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 62.3260.63 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 37.3:24.0 outside C + D
Trend ▶ −1.07 towards the outside
Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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