TOR vs ZIE
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, April 25, 2010 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Wiesław Jaguś3 1 1 2 29+1
- 10Hans Andersen1 3 3 0 18+1
- 11Ryan Sullivan1 2 1 26+1
- 12Adrian Miedziński3 0 2 3 210
- 13Chris Holder3 2 1 1 07+1
- 14Darcy Ward2 2 1 2 07+2
- 15Emil PulczyńskiW0
- 1Greg Hancock2 3 0 3 3 314
- 2Niels Kristian Iversen0 11
- 3Rafał Dobrucki2 0 2 2 39+1
- 4Fredrik Lindgren0 3 3 0 1 18
- 5Piotr Protasiewicz1 2 3 0 06
- 6Patryk Dudek3 0 0 14
- 7Oleksandr LoktayevW 00
Heat by heat
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Darcy Ward · TOR2
- Oleksandr Loktayev · ZIEW
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR3
- Greg Hancock · ZIE2
- Hans Andersen · TOR1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · ZIE0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Rafał Dobrucki · ZIE2
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR1
- Fredrik Lindgren · ZIE0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Darcy Ward · TOR2*
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE0
- Greg Hancock · ZIE3
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · ZIE1
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR0
- Fredrik Lindgren · ZIE3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Darcy Ward · TOR1*
- Rafał Dobrucki · ZIE0
- Hans Andersen · TOR3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR1
- Oleksandr Loktayev · ZIE0
- Fredrik Lindgren · ZIE3
- Darcy Ward · TOR2
- Chris Holder · TOR1*
- Greg Hancock · ZIE0
- Hans Andersen · TOR3
- Rafał Dobrucki · ZIE2
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR1
- Fredrik Lindgren · ZIE0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR1*
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE0
- Greg Hancock · ZIE3
- Rafał Dobrucki · ZIE2*
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Hans Andersen · TOR0
- Greg Hancock · ZIE3
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR2
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1
- Darcy Ward · TOR0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR2*
- Fredrik Lindgren · ZIE1
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE0
- Rafał Dobrucki · ZIE3
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR2
- Hans Andersen · TOR1*
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE0
- Greg Hancock · ZIE3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2
- Fredrik Lindgren · ZIE1
- Chris Holder · TOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 15 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 12 km/h SE
- gusts up to 29 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 24 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 8 | +7 | −7 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| TOR | ZIE | TOR | ZIE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -1 | 66 % |
| 2 | +1 | 77 % |
| 3 | +3 | 82 % |
| 4 | +7 | 93 % |
| 5 | +5 | 90 % |
| 6 | +5 | 88 % |
| 7 | +7 | 95 % |
| 8 | +7 | 94 % |
| 9 | +9 | 97 % |
| 10 | +9 | 96 % |
| 11 | +5 | 92 % |
| 12 | +3 | 86 % |
| 13 | +7 | 98 % |
| 14 | +7 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Hancock | 6 | 9.3 | 14 | +4.7 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 5 | 7.6 | 10 | +2.4 |
| Wiesław Jaguś | 5 | 7.4 | 9 | +1.6 |
| Darcy Ward | 5 | 5.4 | 7 | +1.6 |
| Rafał Dobrucki | 5 | 7.8 | 9 | +1.2 |
| Patryk Dudek | 4 | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| Hans Andersen | 5 | 7.8 | 8 | +0.2 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 2 | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| Emil Pulczyński | 1 | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 8.9 | 7 | -1.9 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 6 | 10.1 | 8 | -2.1 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 2 | 2.1 | 0 | -2.1 |
| Ryan Sullivan | 4 | 8.2 | 6 | -2.2 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 5 | 8.6 | 6 | -2.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.