TOR vs WRO
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, September 26, 2010 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Chris Holder2 1 2 1 06
- 10Wiesław Jaguś0 00
- 11Ryan Sullivan3 3 3 3 315
- 12Hans Andersen0 2 1 3 28+1
- 13Adrian Miedziński1 1 3 1 17+1
- 14Emil Pulczyński1 01
- 15Michael Jepsen Jensen3 0 2 1 2 210+3
- 1Kenneth Bjerre3 1 1 0 D5
- 2Daniel Jeleniewski1 0 01
- 3Leon Madsen2 3 0 0 38
- 4Piotr Świderski1 2 3 2 19+3
- 5Jason Crump3 2 0 0 27+1
- 6Dennis Andersson0 11
- 7Maciej Janowski2 2 3 2 312+1
Heat by heat
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · TOR3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Emil Pulczyński · TOR1
- Dennis Andersson · WRO0
- Kenneth Bjerre · WRO3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Daniel Jeleniewski · WRO1
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR0
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Leon Madsen · WRO2
- Piotr Świderski · WRO1*
- Hans Andersen · TOR0
- Jason Crump · WRO3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2*
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1
- Emil Pulczyński · TOR0
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Hans Andersen · TOR2*
- Kenneth Bjerre · WRO1
- Daniel Jeleniewski · WRO0
- Leon Madsen · WRO3
- Piotr Świderski · WRO2*
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · TOR0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Jason Crump · WRO2*
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · TOR2*
- Kenneth Bjerre · WRO1
- Daniel Jeleniewski · WRO0
- Piotr Świderski · WRO3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · TOR1*
- Leon Madsen · WRO0
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Hans Andersen · TOR1
- Jason Crump · WRO0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · TOR2
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1*
- Leon Madsen · WRO0
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · TOR2*
- Dennis Andersson · WRO1
- Kenneth Bjerre · WRO0
- Hans Andersen · TOR3
- Piotr Świderski · WRO2
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Jason Crump · WRO0
- Leon Madsen · WRO3
- Hans Andersen · TOR2
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1
- Kenneth Bjerre · WROD
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Jason Crump · WRO2
- Piotr Świderski · WRO1*
- Chris Holder · TOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 19 → 17 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 11 km/h E
- gusts up to 27 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 78 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 10 | 14 | −4 | +4 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| TOR | WRO | TOR | WRO | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | -4 | 38 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | -4 | 33 % |
| 7 | -8 | 13 % |
| 8 | -4 | 35 % |
| 9 | -4 | 28 % |
| 10 | -2 | 36 % |
| 11 | -2 | 36 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | +4 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 5.6 | 12 | +6.4 |
| Ryan Sullivan | 5 | 10.7 | 15 | +4.3 |
| Piotr Świderski | 5 | 5.0 | 9 | +4.0 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 6 | 6.4 | 10 | +3.6 |
| Hans Andersen | 5 | 6.6 | 8 | +1.4 |
| Leon Madsen | 5 | 8.5 | 8 | -0.5 |
| Dennis Andersson | 2 | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| Emil Pulczyński | 2 | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 5 | 8.6 | 7 | -1.6 |
| Daniel Jeleniewski | 3 | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| Wiesław Jaguś | 2 | 2.5 | 0 | -2.5 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 8.7 | 6 | -2.7 |
| Jason Crump | 5 | 10.9 | 7 | -3.9 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 9.3 | 5 | -4.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.