TAR vs BYD

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 18, 2010 · Tarnów Stadium, Tarnów

Results

TAR 45 : 39 BYD
TAR
BYD

Heat by heat

Heat 173.19 s5:1
Heat 272.88 s4:2
Heat 372.38 s1:5
Heat 472.53 s3:3
Heat 571.59 s3:3
Heat 671.52 s5:1
Heat 771.56 s3:3
Heat 871.75 s3:3
Heat 971.73 s1:5
Heat 1071.26 s3:3
Heat 1172.05 s2:4
Heat 1272.49 s5:1
Heat 1371.53 s3:3
Heat 1474.32 s4:2
Heat 15

    Conditions

    Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

    Sky
    Showers
    Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
    Temperature
    23 → 21 °C
    Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
    Wind
    11 km/h NW
    gusts up to 28 km/h
    Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
    Rain during the meeting
    2.9 mm
    Rain likely: a second model agrees
    Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
    Rain in the 24 hours before
    7 mm
    Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
    Humidity
    85 %
    Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)

    Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

    Match by phase

    Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

    PointsBalance
    1–41311+2−2
    5–7117+4−4
    8–10711−4+4
    11–13108+2−2
    1442+2−2
    TARBYDTARBYD

    The match heat by heat

    Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

    • Lead TAR
    0123456114
    HeatLeadHome win chance
    1+485 %
    2+689 %
    3+277 %
    4+273 %
    5+269 %
    6+688 %
    7+690 %
    8+690 %
    9+273 %
    10+270 %
    11048 %
    12+486 %
    13+491 %
    14+6100 %

    Pre-meeting expectation

    Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

    RiderheatsExpectedScored±
    Antonio Lindbäck56.813+6.2
    Andreas Jonsson510.313+2.7
    Krzysztof Kasprzak47.410+2.6
    Szymon Kiełbasa21.94+2.1
    Bjarne Pedersen46.88+1.2
    Martin Vaculik58.28-0.2
    Jesper B. Monberg44.34-0.3
    Sebastian Ułamek59.79-0.7
    Grzegorz Walasek58.88-0.8
    Robert Kościecha44.73-1.7
    Damian Adamczak32.71-1.7
    Szymon Woźniak33.31-2.3
    Tomasz Jędrzejak44.82-2.8
    Denis Gizatullin34.40-4.4

    Track & gates

    Heat times

    Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

    slower 74.3271.26 faster

    Starting gates

    One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

    Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

    Inside vs outside

    Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

    inside A + B 28.7:29.3 outside C + D
    Trend ▶ −0.82 towards the outside
    Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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