TAR vs TOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Monday, July 12, 2010 · Tarnów Stadium, Tarnów
Results
- 9Bjarne Pedersen2 1 3 2 311+1
- 10Tomasz Jędrzejak3 0 1 04
- 11Sebastian Ułamek2 2 2 3 312+1
- 12Jesper B. Monberg3 1 1 0 05+2
- 13Krzysztof Kasprzak3 3 2 3 W11
- 14Szymon Kiełbasa1 12+1
- 15Martin Vaculik2 1 1 04
- 1Adrian Miedziński1 3 D 2 2 19
- 2Darcy Ward0 00
- 3Wiesław Jaguś0 0 00
- 4Chris Holder1 2 2 1 1 29+1
- 5Ryan Sullivan2 3 3 3 3 216
- 6Emil Pulczyński3 03
- 7Michael Jepsen Jensen0 2 0 1 14+3
Heat by heat
- Emil Pulczyński · TOR3
- Martin Vaculik · TAR2
- Szymon Kiełbasa · TAR1*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · TOR0
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · TAR3
- Bjarne Pedersen · TAR2*
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1
- Darcy Ward · TOR0
- Jesper B. Monberg · TAR3
- Sebastian Ułamek · TAR2*
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · TAR3
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR2
- Szymon Kiełbasa · TAR1
- Emil Pulczyński · TOR0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Sebastian Ułamek · TAR2
- Jesper B. Monberg · TAR1*
- Darcy Ward · TOR0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · TAR3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Martin Vaculik · TAR1
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR0
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · TOR2*
- Bjarne Pedersen · TAR1
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · TAR0
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · TAR2
- Martin Vaculik · TAR1
- Adrian Miedziński · TORD
- Bjarne Pedersen · TAR3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · TAR1
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR0
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Sebastian Ułamek · TAR2
- Jesper B. Monberg · TAR1*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · TOR0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · TAR3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2
- Chris Holder · TOR1*
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · TAR0
- Sebastian Ułamek · TAR3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · TOR1*
- Martin Vaculik · TAR0
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Bjarne Pedersen · TAR2
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Jesper B. Monberg · TAR0
- Bjarne Pedersen · TAR3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · TOR1*
- Jesper B. Monberg · TAR0
- Sebastian Ułamek · TAR3
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR2
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 30 → 27 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 7 km/h NE
- gusts up to 19 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 49 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 17 | 7 | +10 | −10 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| TAR | TOR | TAR | TOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TAR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +10 | 98 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +12 | 99 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +10 | 97 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +10 | 98 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebastian Ułamek | 5 | 7.9 | 12 | +4.1 |
| Ryan Sullivan | 6 | 12.0 | 16 | +4.0 |
| Bjarne Pedersen | 5 | 7.3 | 11 | +3.7 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 5 | 7.5 | 11 | +3.5 |
| Emil Pulczyński | 2 | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| Szymon Kiełbasa | 2 | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| Jesper B. Monberg | 5 | 4.9 | 5 | +0.1 |
| Tomasz Jędrzejak | 4 | 4.4 | 4 | -0.4 |
| Darcy Ward | 2 | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 6.1 | 4 | -2.1 |
| Martin Vaculik | 4 | 6.3 | 4 | -2.3 |
| Chris Holder | 6 | 11.6 | 9 | -2.6 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 6 | 11.8 | 9 | -2.8 |
| Wiesław Jaguś | 3 | 4.5 | 0 | -4.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.