ZIE vs WRO
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 14, 2009 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra
Results
- 9Rafał Dobrucki2 2 3 2 110+3
- 10Niels Kristian Iversen3 0 2 3 210+1
- 11Piotr Protasiewicz2 3 3 2 212+1
- 12Fredrik Lindgren3 1 1 38
- 13Grzegorz Walasek3 3 1 1 311
- 14Patryk Dudek1 0 01
- 15Ludvig Lindgren0 0 00
- 1Scott Nicholls1 01
- 2Daniel Jeleniewski0 2 2 0 T4+1
- 3Tomasz Jędrzejak1 2 1 04
- 4David Watt0 00
- 5Jason Crump1 3 2 2 1 312+1
- 6Leon Madsen3 2 1 0 17
- 7Maciej Janowski2 1 3 3 D W9+2
Heat by heat
- Leon Madsen · WRO3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2*
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1
- Ludvig Lindgren · ZIE0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · ZIE3
- Rafał Dobrucki · ZIE2*
- Scott Nicholls · WRO1
- Daniel Jeleniewski · WRO0
- Fredrik Lindgren · ZIE3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2*
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO1
- David Watt · WRO0
- Grzegorz Walasek · ZIE3
- Leon Madsen · WRO2
- Jason Crump · WRO1*
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Daniel Jeleniewski · WRO2
- Fredrik Lindgren · ZIE1
- Scott Nicholls · WRO0
- Grzegorz Walasek · ZIE3
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO2
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1*
- Ludvig Lindgren · ZIE0
- Jason Crump · WRO3
- Rafał Dobrucki · ZIE2
- Leon Madsen · WRO1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · ZIE0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Daniel Jeleniewski · WRO2*
- Grzegorz Walasek · ZIE1
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE0
- Rafał Dobrucki · ZIE3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · ZIE2*
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO1
- David Watt · WRO0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Jason Crump · WRO2
- Fredrik Lindgren · ZIE1
- Leon Madsen · WRO0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · ZIE3
- Jason Crump · WRO2
- Grzegorz Walasek · ZIE1
- Daniel Jeleniewski · WRO0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Leon Madsen · WRO1
- Ludvig Lindgren · ZIE0
- Fredrik Lindgren · ZIE3
- Rafał Dobrucki · ZIE2*
- Jason Crump · WRO1
- Maciej Janowski · WROD
- Grzegorz Walasek · ZIE3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · ZIE2
- Jason Crump · WRO3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Rafał Dobrucki · ZIE1*
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 21 → 19 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 9 km/h W
- gusts up to 30 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 59 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 3 | +5 | −5 | |
| ZIE | WRO | ZIE | WRO | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead ZIE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | 0 | 57 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +8 | 95 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +10 | 100 % |
| 14 | +15 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 5 | 6.9 | 10 | +3.1 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 5 | 9.4 | 12 | +2.6 |
| Rafał Dobrucki | 5 | 7.5 | 10 | +2.5 |
| Leon Madsen | 5 | 4.5 | 7 | +2.5 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 4 | 5.9 | 8 | +2.1 |
| Maciej Janowski | 6 | 7.4 | 9 | +1.6 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 5 | 9.7 | 11 | +1.3 |
| Tomasz Jędrzejak | 4 | 4.9 | 4 | -0.9 |
| Scott Nicholls | 2 | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| Patryk Dudek | 3 | 3.4 | 1 | -2.4 |
| David Watt | 2 | 2.4 | 0 | -2.4 |
| Daniel Jeleniewski | 5 | 6.8 | 4 | -2.8 |
| Jason Crump | 6 | 15.6 | 12 | -3.6 |
| Ludvig Lindgren | 3 | 3.6 | 0 | -3.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.