WRO vs ZIE
PGE Ekstraliga · Thursday, June 11, 2009 · Stadion Olimpijski we Wrocławiu, Wrocław
Results
- 9Scott Nicholls1 1 D T2
- 10Daniel Jeleniewski3 2 2 2 110+1
- 11Tomasz Jędrzejak3 1 1 2 18
- 12David Watt2 0 2 D 04+1
- 13Jason Crump3 3 3 3 315
- 14Leon Madsen3 03
- 15Maciej JanowskiW 1 2 1 15+2
- 1Grzegorz Walasek2 3 1 3 3 214+1
- 2Niels Kristian IversenW 2 2 15+1
- 3Rafał Dobrucki0 D D0
- 4Fredrik Lindgren1 1 1 2 38+1
- 5Piotr Protasiewicz2 3 3 3 2 W13+1
- 6Patryk Dudek2 0 U U 02
- 7Mateusz Łukowiak11
Heat by heat
- Leon Madsen · WRO3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2
- Mateusz Łukowiak · ZIE1
- Daniel Jeleniewski · WRO3
- Grzegorz Walasek · ZIE2
- Scott Nicholls · WRO1
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO3
- David Watt · WRO2*
- Fredrik Lindgren · ZIE1
- Rafał Dobrucki · ZIE0
- Jason Crump · WRO3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE0
- Grzegorz Walasek · ZIE3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · ZIE2*
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO1
- David Watt · WRO0
- Jason Crump · WRO3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2*
- Fredrik Lindgren · ZIE1
- Rafał Dobrucki · ZIED
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Daniel Jeleniewski · WRO2
- Scott Nicholls · WRO1
- Patryk Dudek · ZIEU
- Jason Crump · WRO3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · ZIE2
- Grzegorz Walasek · ZIE1*
- Leon Madsen · WRO0
- Grzegorz Walasek · ZIE3
- Daniel Jeleniewski · WRO2
- Fredrik Lindgren · ZIE1
- Scott Nicholls · WROD
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- David Watt · WRO2
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO1
- Patryk Dudek · ZIEU
- Jason Crump · WRO3
- Daniel Jeleniewski · WRO2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · ZIE1
- Rafał Dobrucki · ZIED
- Grzegorz Walasek · ZIE3
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO2
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1*
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Fredrik Lindgren · ZIE2*
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1
- David Watt · WROD
- Fredrik Lindgren · ZIE3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2*
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO1
- David Watt · WRO0
- Jason Crump · WRO3
- Grzegorz Walasek · ZIE2
- Daniel Jeleniewski · WRO1
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Rain → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 17 → 16 °C
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
- Wind
- 21 km/h W
- gusts up to 47 km/h
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 3.9 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 73 %
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| WRO | ZIE | WRO | ZIE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead WRO
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +10 | 98 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +2 | 77 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Jeleniewski | 5 | 5.7 | 10 | +4.3 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 6 | 11.2 | 14 | +2.8 |
| Jason Crump | 5 | 12.5 | 15 | +2.5 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 6 | 11.2 | 13 | +1.8 |
| Tomasz Jędrzejak | 5 | 6.2 | 8 | +1.8 |
| Leon Madsen | 2 | 1.9 | 3 | +1.1 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 4 | 4.9 | 5 | +0.1 |
| Mateusz Łukowiak | 1 | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 5.5 | 5 | -0.5 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 8.6 | 8 | -0.6 |
| Scott Nicholls | 3 | 3.4 | 2 | -1.4 |
| David Watt | 5 | 6.4 | 4 | -2.4 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 6.1 | 2 | -4.1 |
| Rafał Dobrucki | 3 | 4.8 | 0 | -4.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.