TOR vs CZE
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 24, 2009 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Ryan Sullivan3 3 3 2 314
- 10Adrian Miedziński1 0 2 3 28+1
- 11Chris Holder3 2 2 3 010+1
- 12Matej Kus2 1 3 06+2
- 13Wiesław Jaguś1 2 3 2 19+1
- 14Damian Celmer11+1
- 15Darcy Ward2 0 1 2 05+2
- 1Nicki Pedersen2 3 1 2 3 112+1
- 2Sławomir Drabik0 0 00
- 3Lee RichardsonD 3 1 1 3 210
- 4Michał Szczepaniak1 01
- 5Greg Hancock3 2 1 0 1 D7
- 6Kamil Cieślar00
- 7Tai Woffinden3 2 1 0 0 17+3
Heat by heat
- Tai Woffinden · CZE3
- Darcy Ward · TOR2
- Damian Celmer · TOR1*
- Kamil Cieślar · CZE0
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Nicki Pedersen · CZE2
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1
- Sławomir Drabik · CZE0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Matej Kus · TOR2*
- Michał Szczepaniak · CZE1
- Lee Richardson · CZED
- Greg Hancock · CZE3
- Tai Woffinden · CZE2*
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR1
- Darcy Ward · TOR0
- Nicki Pedersen · CZE3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Matej Kus · TOR1*
- Sławomir Drabik · CZE0
- Lee Richardson · CZE3
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR2
- Darcy Ward · TOR1*
- Michał Szczepaniak · CZE0
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Greg Hancock · CZE2
- Tai Woffinden · CZE1*
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR0
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR3
- Darcy Ward · TOR2*
- Nicki Pedersen · CZE1
- Sławomir Drabik · CZE0
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2*
- Lee Richardson · CZE1
- Tai Woffinden · CZE0
- Matej Kus · TOR3
- Chris Holder · TOR2*
- Greg Hancock · CZE1
- Tai Woffinden · CZE0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR2*
- Lee Richardson · CZE1
- Greg Hancock · CZE0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Nicki Pedersen · CZE2
- Tai Woffinden · CZE1*
- Darcy Ward · TOR0
- Lee Richardson · CZE3
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR2
- Greg Hancock · CZE1
- Matej Kus · TOR0
- Nicki Pedersen · CZE3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR1
- Greg Hancock · CZED
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Lee Richardson · CZE2
- Nicki Pedersen · CZE1*
- Chris Holder · TOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Showers → Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 19 → 14 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 9 km/h NW
- gusts up to 28 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0.2 mm
- Possible showers: a second model has the day dry
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.3 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 61 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 15 | 3 | +12 | −12 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| TOR | CZE | TOR | CZE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +10 | 97 % |
| 10 | +14 | 99 % |
| 11 | +18 | 100 % |
| 12 | +18 | 100 % |
| 13 | +16 | 100 % |
| 14 | +16 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Sullivan | 5 | 8.8 | 14 | +5.2 |
| Matej Kus | 4 | 2.7 | 6 | +3.3 |
| Tai Woffinden | 6 | 4.3 | 7 | +2.7 |
| Lee Richardson | 6 | 9.0 | 10 | +1.0 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 5 | 7.3 | 8 | +0.7 |
| Wiesław Jaguś | 5 | 8.6 | 9 | +0.4 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 9.9 | 10 | +0.1 |
| Damian Celmer | 1 | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| Darcy Ward | 5 | 5.3 | 5 | -0.3 |
| Michał Szczepaniak | 2 | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 6 | 13.7 | 12 | -1.7 |
| Kamil Cieślar | 1 | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Sławomir Drabik | 3 | 2.3 | 0 | -2.3 |
| Greg Hancock | 6 | 13.5 | 7 | -6.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.