WRO vs TOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 10, 2009 · Stadion Olimpijski we Wrocławiu, Wrocław
Results
- 9Scott NichollsD 2 2 1 27+1
- 10Daniel Jeleniewski3 3 1 1 08+2
- 11Tomasz Jędrzejak2 2 2 17+1
- 12David Watt1 0 3 04+1
- 13Jason Crump3 2 1 2 210
- 14Leon Madsen2 02+1
- 15Maciej Janowski3 2 1 0 D6+2
- 1Chris Holder2 1 3 3 3 113
- 2Martin Smolinski1 01
- 3Ryan Sullivan3 3 0 0 3 312
- 4Adrian Miedziński0 3 2 3 2 313+2
- 5Wiesław Jaguś1 1 W2
- 6Mateusz Lampkowski00
- 7Darcy Ward1 0 0 1 2 15+1
Heat by heat
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Leon Madsen · WRO2*
- Darcy Ward · TOR1
- Mateusz Lampkowski · TOR0
- Daniel Jeleniewski · WRO3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Martin Smolinski · TOR1
- Scott Nicholls · WROD
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO2
- David Watt · WRO1*
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR0
- Jason Crump · WRO3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2*
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR1
- Darcy Ward · TOR0
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO2
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- David Watt · WRO0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Jason Crump · WRO2
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1*
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR0
- Daniel Jeleniewski · WRO3
- Scott Nicholls · WRO2*
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR1
- Darcy Ward · TOR0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2*
- Jason Crump · WRO1
- Leon Madsen · WRO0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Scott Nicholls · WRO2
- Daniel Jeleniewski · WRO1*
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR0
- David Watt · WRO3
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO2*
- Darcy Ward · TOR1
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Jason Crump · WRO2
- Daniel Jeleniewski · WRO1*
- Martin Smolinski · TOR0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Darcy Ward · TOR2*
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO1
- Maciej Janowski · WRO0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2*
- Scott Nicholls · WRO1
- David Watt · WRO0
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Scott Nicholls · WRO2
- Darcy Ward · TOR1
- Maciej Janowski · WROD
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Jason Crump · WRO2
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Daniel Jeleniewski · WRO0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 21 → 20 °C
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
- Wind
- 23 km/h NW
- gusts up to 38 km/h
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.9 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 53 %
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 5 | 13 | −8 | +8 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| WRO | TOR | WRO | TOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead WRO
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +10 | 97 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +2 | 74 % |
| 14 | 0 | 56 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Miedziński | 6 | 8.5 | 13 | +4.5 |
| Daniel Jeleniewski | 5 | 5.2 | 8 | +2.8 |
| Tomasz Jędrzejak | 4 | 4.7 | 7 | +2.3 |
| Chris Holder | 6 | 12.0 | 13 | +1.0 |
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 5.0 | 6 | +1.0 |
| Scott Nicholls | 5 | 6.1 | 7 | +0.9 |
| Leon Madsen | 2 | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| Ryan Sullivan | 6 | 12.3 | 12 | -0.3 |
| Martin Smolinski | 2 | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| David Watt | 4 | 5.1 | 4 | -1.1 |
| Mateusz Lampkowski | 1 | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| Darcy Ward | 6 | 7.0 | 5 | -2.0 |
| Jason Crump | 5 | 12.3 | 10 | -2.3 |
| Wiesław Jaguś | 3 | 6.8 | 2 | -4.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.