ZIE vs GDA
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 3, 2009 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra
Results
- 9Fredrik Lindgren0 2 3 3 19+1
- 10Rafał Dobrucki3 3 0 2 210+2
- 11Piotr Protasiewicz2 3 2 2 312+1
- 12Niels Kristian Iversen3 1 0 26+1
- 13Grzegorz Walasek1 2 0 3 39+2
- 14Patryk Dudek11
- 15Grzegorz Zengota3 2 3 3 011
- 1Kenneth Bjerre2 2 2 3 3 214
- 2Renat Gafurov1 0 1 02+2
- 3Magnus Zetterström0 0 2 1 03
- 4Hans Andersen1 1 1 03+1
- 5Adam Skornicki0 1 1 02
- 6Martin Vaculik2 3 0 1 1 18
- 7Andriy Kobrin00
Heat by heat
- Grzegorz Zengota · ZIE3
- Martin Vaculik · GDA2
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1
- Andriy Kobrin · GDA0
- Rafał Dobrucki · ZIE3
- Kenneth Bjerre · GDA2
- Renat Gafurov · GDA1*
- Fredrik Lindgren · ZIE0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · ZIE3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2*
- Hans Andersen · GDA1
- Magnus Zetterström · GDA0
- Martin Vaculik · GDA3
- Grzegorz Zengota · ZIE2
- Grzegorz Walasek · ZIE1*
- Adam Skornicki · GDA0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Kenneth Bjerre · GDA2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · ZIE1
- Renat Gafurov · GDA0
- Grzegorz Zengota · ZIE3
- Grzegorz Walasek · ZIE2*
- Hans Andersen · GDA1
- Magnus Zetterström · GDA0
- Rafał Dobrucki · ZIE3
- Fredrik Lindgren · ZIE2*
- Adam Skornicki · GDA1
- Martin Vaculik · GDA0
- Grzegorz Zengota · ZIE3
- Kenneth Bjerre · GDA2
- Renat Gafurov · GDA1*
- Grzegorz Walasek · ZIE0
- Fredrik Lindgren · ZIE3
- Magnus Zetterström · GDA2
- Hans Andersen · GDA1*
- Rafał Dobrucki · ZIE0
- Kenneth Bjerre · GDA3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Martin Vaculik · GDA1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · ZIE0
- Grzegorz Walasek · ZIE3
- Rafał Dobrucki · ZIE2*
- Magnus Zetterström · GDA1
- Renat Gafurov · GDA0
- Kenneth Bjerre · GDA3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Martin Vaculik · GDA1
- Grzegorz Zengota · ZIE0
- Fredrik Lindgren · ZIE3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · ZIE2*
- Adam Skornicki · GDA1
- Hans Andersen · GDA0
- Grzegorz Walasek · ZIE3
- Rafał Dobrucki · ZIE2*
- Martin Vaculik · GDA1
- Adam Skornicki · GDA0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Kenneth Bjerre · GDA2
- Fredrik Lindgren · ZIE1
- Magnus Zetterström · GDA0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 20 → 14 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 7 km/h SW
- gusts up to 16 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 48 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 14 | 4 | +10 | −10 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| ZIE | GDA | ZIE | GDA | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead ZIE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +12 | 99 % |
| 7 | +16 | 100 % |
| 8 | +16 | 100 % |
| 9 | +16 | 100 % |
| 10 | +14 | 99 % |
| 11 | +18 | 100 % |
| 12 | +16 | 100 % |
| 13 | +20 | 100 % |
| 14 | +24 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Bjerre | 6 | 9.9 | 14 | +4.1 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 5 | 7.0 | 11 | +4.0 |
| Rafał Dobrucki | 5 | 8.1 | 10 | +1.9 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 5 | 10.3 | 12 | +1.7 |
| Martin Vaculik | 6 | 6.3 | 8 | +1.7 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 4 | 4.8 | 6 | +1.2 |
| Patryk Dudek | 1 | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 9.7 | 9 | -0.7 |
| Andriy Kobrin | 1 | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| Magnus Zetterström | 5 | 4.5 | 3 | -1.5 |
| Renat Gafurov | 4 | 3.5 | 2 | -1.5 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 5 | 10.7 | 9 | -1.7 |
| Adam Skornicki | 4 | 4.5 | 2 | -2.5 |
| Hans Andersen | 4 | 7.7 | 3 | -4.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.