TOR vs LES
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 3, 2009 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Ryan Sullivan2 3 1 06
- 10Adrian Miedziński1 2 3 3 09+2
- 11Chris Holder3 2 3 2 111
- 12Robert Kościecha2 1 2 2 18+3
- 13Wiesław Jaguś2 3 3 0 311
- 14Mateusz Lampkowski1 1 0 0 13+1
- 15Matej Kus00
- 1Leigh Adams3 3 2 2 3 316
- 2Adam ShieldsT 0 11+1
- 3Damian BalińskiW 1 01+1
- 4Krzysztof Kasprzak1 2 2 1 1 29+1
- 5Jarosław Hampel3 1 1 3 0 210+1
- 6Przemysław Pawlicki2 0 0 D2+1
- 7Jurica Pavlic3 0 03
Heat by heat
- Jurica Pavlic · LES3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES2*
- Mateusz Lampkowski · TOR1
- Matej Kus · TOR0
- Leigh Adams · LES3
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR2
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1*
- Jurica Pavlic · LES0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Robert Kościecha · TOR2*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LES1
- Jarosław Hampel · LES3
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR2
- Mateusz Lampkowski · TOR1*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES0
- Leigh Adams · LES3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Robert Kościecha · TOR1*
- Adam Shields · LES0
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LES2
- Damian Baliński · LES1*
- Mateusz Lampkowski · TOR0
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2*
- Jarosław Hampel · LES1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES0
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR3
- Leigh Adams · LES2
- Adam Shields · LES1*
- Mateusz Lampkowski · TOR0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LES2
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR1
- Damian Baliński · LES0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Robert Kościecha · TOR2*
- Jarosław Hampel · LES1
- Jurica Pavlic · LES0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Leigh Adams · LES2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LES1*
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR0
- Leigh Adams · LES3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Mateusz Lampkowski · TOR1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LESD
- Jarosław Hampel · LES3
- Robert Kościecha · TOR2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LES1
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR0
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LES2
- Robert Kościecha · TOR1
- Jarosław Hampel · LES0
- Leigh Adams · LES3
- Jarosław Hampel · LES2*
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 21 → 14 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 7 km/h S
- gusts up to 17 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 32 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| TOR | LES | TOR | LES | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +10 | 98 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +10 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Miedziński | 5 | 5.3 | 9 | +3.7 |
| Robert Kościecha | 5 | 5.1 | 8 | +2.9 |
| Leigh Adams | 6 | 13.3 | 16 | +2.7 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 8.7 | 11 | +2.3 |
| Wiesław Jaguś | 5 | 10.0 | 11 | +1.0 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 6 | 8.7 | 9 | +0.3 |
| Jurica Pavlic | 3 | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| Mateusz Lampkowski | 5 | 3.8 | 3 | -0.8 |
| Adam Shields | 2 | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| Matej Kus | 1 | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 6 | 11.7 | 10 | -1.7 |
| Ryan Sullivan | 4 | 7.7 | 6 | -1.7 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 4 | 4.9 | 2 | -2.9 |
| Damian Baliński | 3 | 4.4 | 1 | -3.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.