TOR vs ZIE

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, October 25, 2009 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń

Results

TOR 38 : 40 ZIE
TOR
ZIE

Heat by heat

Heat 158.12 s2:4
Heat 258.15 s2:4
Heat 357.47 s3:3
Heat 458.13 s4:2
Heat 557.44 s3:3
Heat 657.28 s1:5
Heat 757.47 s3:3
Heat 858.32 s4:2
Heat 957.69 s1:5
Heat 1057.69 s5:1
Heat 1157.68 s3:3
Heat 1259.50 s3:3
Heat 1359.92 s4:2
Heat 14
Heat 15

    Conditions

    Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

    Sky
    Cloudy
    Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
    Temperature
    9 °C
    Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
    Wind
    11 km/h S
    gusts up to 22 km/h
    Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
    Rain during the meeting
    0 mm
    Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
    Rain in the 24 hours before
    0 mm
    Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
    Humidity
    90 %
    Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)

    Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

    Match by phase

    Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

    PointsBalance
    1–41113−2+2
    5–7711−4+4
    8–10108+2−2
    11–13108+2−2
    140000
    TORZIETORZIE

    The match heat by heat

    Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

    • Lead TOR
    -8-7-6-5-4-3-2113
    HeatLeadHome win chance
    1-253 %
    2-437 %
    3-434 %
    4-246 %
    5-247 %
    6-624 %
    7-618 %
    8-435 %
    9-812 %
    10-422 %
    11-418 %
    12-420 %
    13-233 %

    Pre-meeting expectation

    Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

    RiderheatsExpectedScored±
    Ryan Sullivan59.112+2.9
    Niels Kristian Iversen54.67+2.4
    Chris Holder47.610+2.4
    Fredrik Lindgren46.88+1.2
    Piotr Protasiewicz47.08+1.0
    Patryk Dudek32.83+0.2
    Grzegorz Walasek45.96+0.1
    Darcy Ward55.85-0.8
    Wiesław Jaguś57.87-0.8
    Emil Pulczyński11.10-1.1
    Rafał Dobrucki59.97-2.9
    Robert Kościecha33.10-3.1
    Adrian Miedziński57.64-3.6
    Grzegorz Zengota34.81-3.8

    Track & gates

    Heat times

    Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

    slower 59.9257.28 faster

    Starting gates

    One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

    Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

    Inside vs outside

    Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

    inside A + B 25.7:21.0 outside C + D
    Trend ▶ −2.07 towards the outside
    Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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